Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Peterborough United		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.57
	5.75	4.1	1.57
	5.75	4.15	1.6
	5.6	4.1	1.54
	6	4.27	1.58
	6	3.9	1.55
	5.9	4.3	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↑ (3.87)	4.12 ↑ (3.33)	1.57 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
16.2%

Draw
23.1%

Nottingham Forest
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

28%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.7%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough United's form might have worsened.

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nottingham Forest's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Peterborough United - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 22 (50.78%), has project points - 36, has currently - 34, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Nottingham has the most likely position - 4 (36.33%), has project points - 78, has currently - 70, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (93%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 36, small importance 14, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Peterborough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nottingham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Nottingham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League Championship
18.04.22	Barnsley - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
15.04.22	Peterborough United - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Bristol City - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
05.04.22	Peterborough United - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Peterborough United - Middlesbrough	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWTTL
- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
18.04.22	Nottingham Forest - West Bromwich Albion	4:0 ✺
15.04.22	Luton Town - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Nottingham Forest - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
06.04.22	Nottingham Forest - Coventry City	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.12.21	Nottingham Forest - Peterborough United	2:0
12.01.13	Nottingham Forest - Peterborough United	2:1
06.10.12	Peterborough United - Nottingham Forest	0:1
09.04.12	Peterborough United - Nottingham Forest	N/A

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