Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Plymouth Argyle		Millwall

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.71	3.07	2.18	Watch
	3.85	3.09	2.25
	3.74	3.05	2.2	Watch
	3.6	3	2.25
	3.76	3.15	2.24	Watch
	3.71	3.07	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.51)	3.08 ↓ (3.17)	2.21 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
25.8%

Draw
31.1%

Millwall
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	29.6%	55.6%

Plymouth Argyle - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Millwall will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hazard C. (G) 40. Talovierov M. 25. Katic N. 44. Palsson V. 29. Sorinola M. 20. Randell A. (C) 4. Houghton J. 3. Ogbeta N. 9. Hardie R. 11. Wright C. 15. Bundu M.	1. Jensen L. (G) 52. Crama T. 6. Tanganga J. 5. Cooper J. (C) 15. Bryan J. 23. Saville G. 24. De Norre C. 56. Neghli C. 25. Cundle L. 9. Connolly A. 26. Ivanovic M.
Substitutes
28. Al Hajj R. 30. Baidoo M. 19. Boateng M. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 18. Gyabi D. 35. Issaka F. 2. Mumba B. 6. Szucs K. 26. Tijani M.	11. Azeez F. 31. Bangura-Williams R. 45. Harding W. 39. Honeyman G. 8. Mitchell B. 13. Roberts L. (G) 3. Wallace M. 19. Watmore D. 14. Wintle R.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Bryan J. (Own goal),
10', 2 - 0, Hardie R. (Pen),
40', Randell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 3 - 0, Bundu M. ⚽, Palsson V. (A),
56', 4 - 0, Hardie R. ⚽,
57', Neghli C. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
58', Cundle L. ↓, Azeez F. ↑,
62', Hardie R. ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
63', Ogbeta N. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
63', Randell A. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
71', Sorinola M. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
77', Connolly A. ↓, Watmore D. ↑,
77', De Norre C. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
78', Bundu M. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Bryan J. ⚽, Azeez F. (A),
86', 5 - 1, Katic N. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 3.

New Orleans has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sacramento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sacramento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently New Orleans have a series of guest games.

Sacramento will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 2361:2257 (average 118.1:112.9).

Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1159:1075 (average 115.9:107.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English FA Cup
09.02.25	Plymouth Argyle - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
01.02.25	Plymouth Argyle - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Sunderland - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Burnley	0:5 ✺
18.01.25	Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 53.4 WWTLL
- Millwall
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Leeds United - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
01.02.25	Millwall - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Portsmouth - Millwall	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Luton Town - Millwall	0:1 ✺
21.01.25	Millwall - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
23.10.24	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
27.04.24	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
03.10.23	Plymouth Argyle - Millwall	0:2
English League Cup
29.08.18	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	3:2
English EFL Trophy
10.11.15	Plymouth Argyle - Millwall	3:5

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