Match Info

Championship - Round 33

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay
Iceland	12:30	Viaplay
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
Norway	13:30	TV2 Play
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
United Kingdom	12:30	Sky Sports+


	Hull City		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3	Watch
	2.33	3.36	3.07	Watch
	2.47	3.4	3.05
	2.32	3.36	3.09	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.9
	2.32	3.24	3.05	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.14)	3.3 ↓ (3.51)	3.02 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
40.2%

Draw
28.6%

Queens Park Rangers
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Hull City - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - QPR (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hull City will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 3 - 75%). QPR (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 37. McNair P. 15. Egan J. 3. Giles R. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 27. Slater R. 13. Hirakawa Y. 21. Gelhardt J. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	13. Walsh J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. (C) 37. Edwards R. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 20. Vale H. 24. Madsen N. 15. Hayden I. 14. Saito K. 26. Kolli R. 22. Kone R.
Substitutes
26. Dowell K. 18. Drameh C. 23. Famewo A. 4. Hughes C. 22. Joseph K. 36. Koumas L. 5. Lundstram J. 58. McCarthy C. 12. Phillips D. (G)	48. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 23. Bennie D. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 28. Esquerdinha 29. Hamer B. (G) 21. Morgan K. 25. Pearman J. 30. Smith T. 40. Varane J.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, McNair P. (Own goal),
37', Slater R. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Gelhardt J. ⚽,
44', Millar L. 🟨,
45+1', Edwards R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
68', Millar L. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
68', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
74', McNair P. 🟨,
78', Coyle L. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,
79', Slater R. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
80', Hayden I. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
80', Kolli R. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Bennie D. ⚽,
85', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Clarke-Salter J. ↑,
90+3', Saito K. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Kone R. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

QPR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hull has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (Hamstring Injury) Belloumi M. (Hamstring Injury) Crooks M. (Hamstring Injury) Gyabi D. (Groin Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Burrell R. (Injury) Chair I. (Muscle Injury) Dembele K. (Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Obikwu J. (Knock) Poku K. (Injury) Varane J. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hull won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20:12	8	20

Outrights of English League Championship for now

QPR: 3.46%

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.84%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Hull City - Chelsea	0:4 ✺
English League Championship
07.02.26	Hull City - Bristol City	2:3 ✺
03.02.26	Hull City - Watford	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Hull City	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Hull City - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWW
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
14.02.26	Queens Park Rangers - Blackburn Rovers	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Hull City	3:2
21.01.25	Hull City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
01.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Hull City	1:3
13.04.24	Hull City - Queens Park Rangers	3:0
09.12.23	Queens Park Rangers - Hull City	2:0
28.01.23	Hull City - Queens Park Rangers	3:0
30.08.22	Queens Park Rangers - Hull City	3:1

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