The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Imbabura 47.9%
Draw 27.9%
Libertad Loja 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
29.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
28.9%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imbabura's performance.
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Loja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imbabura that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Loja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Imbabura - Libertad Loja Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Valero M. (G) 3. Cabeza E. 4. Medina A. 6. Benitez J. 33. Rendon G. 22. Mendoza E. 8. Caicedo R. (C) 14. Calderon H. 10. Espinoza T. 20. Arteaga M. 9. Paz F.
1. Bolado J. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 6. Caicedo B. 27. Alvacete J. 15. Hernandez J. 8. Avila F. 7. Zambrano I. 13. Angulo L. 10. Uchuari J. (C) 9. Avila D. 22. Donsanti T.
Substitutes
34. Alcivar J. 11. Burbano D. 5. Cevallos G. 15. Chavez R. 18. Folleco W. 21. Mina M. 90. Minda P. (G) 7. Pantoja L. 29. Pita J. 17. Presentado F. 26. Santacruz A. 70. Villamil A.
29. Basan L. 90. Bores E. (G) 18. Borja Suarez R. A. 33. Enciso C. 32. Farias R. 5. Larrea P. 77. Martinez J. 26. Molina N. 4. Obando C.
Coaches
Armas J.
Leon J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Avila D. ⚽, Bolanos D. (A),
20', Bolanos D. 🟨,
28', Donsanti T. 🟨,
30', Alvacete J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Mendoza E. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Donsanti T. ↓, Borja Suarez R. A. ↑,
46', Avila F. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Mendoza E. ⚽, Medina A. (A),
48', 3 - 1, Medina A. ⚽, Arteaga M. (A),
55', 3 - 2, Borja Suarez R. A. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
60', Rendon G. 🟨,
62', Benitez J. 🟨,
66', Arteaga M. ↓, Burbano D. ↑,
66', Rendon G. ↓, Mina M. ↑,
69', Calderon H. ↓, Pantoja L. ↑,
69', Caicedo B. ↓, Enciso C. ↑,
76', Pantoja L. 🟨,
76', Caicedo R. 🟨,
79', Benitez J. 🟥,
82', Caicedo R. 🟨,
82', Chavez R. 🟨,
86', Alvacete J. ↓, Basan L. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 2, Paz F. ⚽, Burbano D. (A),
90+6', Angulo L. 🟨,
90+7', Avila D. 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Imbabura will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Imbabura won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Imbabura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Watch
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Valero M. (G) 
Benitez J. 
Arteaga M. 
Paz F. 
