Match Info

Date: 18 May 2021, Tuesday


	Independiente		Bahia

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.3	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2	3.2	3.45	Watch
	1.99	3.15	3.55
	2.04	3.41	3.64
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	3.49 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
45.6%

Draw
28%

Bahia
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

18.6%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Independiente is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Independiente will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.05.21	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente	0:1 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.05.21	Montevideo City Torque - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.21	Bahia - Independiente	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTL
- EC Bahia
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.21	Guabirá - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
12.05.21	Bahia de Feira - Bahia	3:0 ✺
09.05.21	Bahia - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.05.21	Ceará - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
05.05.21	Jacuipense - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.05.21	Bahia - Independiente	2:2

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