Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)


	Independiente Medellín		Metropolitanos

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	11	Watch
	1.29	5.25	10
	1.33	5	10
	1.29	5.68	11.47
	1.25	4.75	11
	1.29	5.35	10.75	Watch
	1.28	5	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.39)	5.18 ↑ (4.33)	10.57 ↑ (7.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
72.9%

Draw
18.2%

Metropolitanos
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

21.5%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

20.3%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Independiente Medellín - Metropolitanos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Metropolitanos will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Metropolitanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente Medellín is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
29.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
25.04.23	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Nacional Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
16.04.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
12.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWW
- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.04.23	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	Angostura - Metropolitanos	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.04.23	Internacional RS - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.04.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW

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