Match Info

Date: 14 July 2021, Wednesday


	Independiente del Valle		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.15	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.19	3.1	3.05
	2.33	3.35	3.16
	2.25	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.31	3.3	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	3.13 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
41.3%

Draw
29.1%

Red Bull Bragantino
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

19.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente del Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	8.5%	70.7%

Independiente del Valle - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 17 - 20.7%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 58 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 8.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 60.8% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bragantino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente del Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente del Valle will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.07.21	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Super Cup
19.06.21	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	3:5 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.05.21	Emelec - Independiente del Valle	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.21	Defensa y Justicia - Independiente del Valle	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.05.21	Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
10.07.21	Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
07.07.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
04.07.21	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
01.07.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Ceará	0:0 ✺
28.06.21	Atlético Goianiense - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWTW

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