The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 37.5%
Draw 28.7%
Independiente del Valle 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
28.5%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
20%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
25%
46.4%
Defensa y Justicia - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 27.9% – 64.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Defensa y Justicia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Independiente del Valle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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