The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inter Miami 69.7%
Draw 17.2%
Philadelphia Union 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.7%
18.1%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.4%
17.1%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
Inter Miami will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. St.Clair D. (G) 17. Fray I. 2. Lujan G. 16. Micael 3. Reguilon S. 7. de Paul R. 42. Bright Y. 8. Segovia T. 10. Messi L. (C) 19. Berterame G. 9. Suarez L.
18. Blake A. (C) 39. Westfield F. 2. Martinez G. 26. Harriel N. 16. Bender B. 6. Sullivan C. 4. Lukic J. 21. Jean Jacques D. 28. Anello A. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
32. Allen N. 22. Ayala D. 37. Falcon M. 4. Mura F. 56. Pinter D. 59. Plambeck P. 34. Rios R. (G) 41. Ruiz D. 24. Silvetti M.
23. Alladoh E. 11. Bedoya A. 8. Bueno J. 47. LeBlanc K. 20. Ndinga P. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 66. Sundstrom F.
Coaches
Hoyos G.
Carnell B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Westfield F. (A),
10', St.Clair D. 🟨,
10', 0 - 2, Iloski M. (Penalty Awarded),
13', 1 - 2, Berterame G. ⚽, Messi L. (A),
16', Martinez G. 🟨,
20', 1 - 3, Damiani B. ⚽,
24', Lukic J. 🟨,
29', 2 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽, Fray I. (A),
38', Fray I. 🟨,
41', 3 - 3, Berterame G. ⚽, Messi L. (A),
44', 4 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽,
45+8', 4 - 4, Iloski M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+11', Segovia T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Reguilon S. 🟨,
57', Anello A. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
66', Sullivan C. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
67', Martinez G. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
67', Segovia T. ↓, Ayala D. ↑,
67', Reguilon S. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
73', Messi L. ↓, Silvetti M. ↑,
75', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
81', 5 - 4, Suarez L. ⚽, Berterame G. (A),
83', Westfield F. ↓, Sundstrom F. ↑,
83', Damiani B. ↓, Ndinga P. ↑,
88', Fray I. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
88', Bright Y. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
90+2', Lujan G. 🟨,
90+3', 6 - 4, de Paul R. ⚽, Silvetti M. (A),
90+7', Allen N. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4.
Inter Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Philadelphia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Inter Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Inter Miami is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Inter Miami: Allende T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Bueno J.
(Leg Injury)
Makhanya O.
(Yellow Cards)
Sery Larsen J.
(Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
Westfield F.
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Korzeniowski S.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
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St.Clair D. (G) 
Fray I. 
Lujan G. 
Micael 
Reguilon S. 
Bright Y. 
Segovia T. 
Berterame G. 
Suarez L. 
Westfield F. 
Martinez G. 
Lukic J. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Allen N. 
Ruiz D. 
Alladoh E. 
Ndinga P. 
Carnell B. 
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