Match Info

Serie A - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Inter Milan		Milan

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	4	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.95	Watch
	1.92	3.6	4.4
	1.84	3.70	4.21	Watch
	2.09	3.26	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.87)	3.39 ↓ (3.64)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
48.3%

Draw
28.4%

Milan
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	33.3%	14%

Inter Milan - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 30 - 52.6%). Milan will win (votes: 8 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 39.6% – 65.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Inter (2.10) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Milan (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Milan (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 30. Carlos Augusto 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.	16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 11. Pulisic C. 10. Leao R.
Substitutes
51. Alexiou C. 31. Bisseck Y. 14. Bonny A. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 43. Cocchi M. 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 11. Luis Henrique 13. Martinez J. (G) 7. Zielinski P.	5. De Winter K. 2. Estupinan P. 30. Jashari A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 18. Nkunku C. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G)
Coaches
Chivu C.	Allegri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Leao R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Pulisic C. ⚽,
61', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
66', Martinez L. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
72', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
74', Calhanoglu H. (Pen),
78', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
78', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
78', Pulisic C. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
85', Acerbi F. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
85', Barella N. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
86', Leao R. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Inter will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Mkhitaryan H. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Athekame Z. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Castiello A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Inter Milan - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Verona - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Napoli - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
08.11.25	Parma - Milan	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Milan - Roma	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Atalanta - Milan	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Milan - Pisa	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Milan - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
23.04.25	Inter Milan - Milan	0:3
02.04.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1
Italian Super Cup
06.01.25	Inter Milan - Milan	2:3
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Inter Milan - Milan	1:2
22.04.24	Milan - Inter Milan	1:2
16.09.23	Inter Milan - Milan	5:1

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