Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 29

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Inter U23		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.35	Watch
	1.89	3.3	5.17
	1.76	3.32	4.61	Watch
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.86	3.35	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.04)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)	4.53 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter U23
50.9%

Draw
28.6%

Alcione
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter U23's performance.

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter U23 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Inter U23 - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Calligaris A. (G) 46. Cinquegrano S. 19. Prestia G. 5. Alexiou C. 10. Kamate I. 9. Topalovic L. 37. Kaczmarski I. 44. Berenbruch T. 3. Cocchi M. 20. La Gumina A. 34. Iddrissou J.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 6. Ciappellano D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 73. Scuderi G. 70. Bright K. 23. Galli G. 33. Invernizzi A. 10. Pitou J. 32. Tordini M. 11. Morselli F.
Substitutes
11. Agbonifo R. 77. Amerighi I. 39. Bovio L. 14. Bovo L. 25. David A. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 30. Mosconi M. 12. Raimondi P. (G) 15. Stante F. 16. Venturini M. 4. Zanchetta M. 21. Zouin A.	81. Gallazzi F. 16. Lanzi J. 18. Lopes E. 31. Marconi M. 5. Miculi A. 8. Muroni M. 21. Olivieri D. 25. Pirola F. 9. Plescia V. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 7. Renault G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Scuderi G. 🟨,
62', Morselli F. 🟨,
70', Morselli F. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
70', Tordini M. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
71', Topalovic L. ↓, Bovo L. ↑,
71', Iddrissou J. ↓, Agbonifo R. ↑,
79', Chierichetti P. 🟨,
86', Cocchi M. ↓, David A. ↑,
87', Berenbruch T. ↓, Zouin A. ↑,
88', Pitou J. ↓, Rebaudo R. ↑,
89', Invernizzi A. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
90+5', 🟥,
90+8', Rebaudo R. ↓, Miculi A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Inter U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alcione is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Inter U23 is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Inter U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Alcione - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan U23
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.26	Renate - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Ospitaletto - Inter U23	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Inter U23 - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Triestina - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Inter U23 - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTLT
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.26	Alcione - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vicenza Virtus - Alcione	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Alcione - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Renate - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.25	Alcione - Inter U23	1:2

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