Match Info

Championship - Round 37

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stoke City		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.56	Watch
	3.6	3.4	2.05
	5.36	4.11	1.61
	5.48	4.19	1.63
	4.93	4	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.62
	5.43	4.33	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (3.52)	4.02 ↑ (3.57)	1.68 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
19.3%

Draw
23.8%

Ipswich Town
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.4%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

25.8%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	9.4%	78.1%

Stoke City - Ipswich Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Ipswich (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Simkin T. (G) 22. Tchamadeu J. 26. Phillips A. (C) 40. Talovierov M. 17. Bocat E. 19. Rigo T. 12. Seko T. 42. Manhoef M. 10. Bae J. 21. Rak-Sakyi J. 49. Smit M.	28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 14. Taylor J. 7. Burns W. 33. Mehmeti A. 47. Clarke J. 31. Azon I.
Substitutes
50. Agina S. 58. Chibueze C. 29. Cisse L. 34. Fielding F. (G) 23. Gibson B. 59. Kelly G. 15. N'Zonzi S. 60. Osei Kyremeh J. 54. Otegbayo R.	29. Akpom Ch. 12. Cajuste J. 8. Egeli S. W. 24. Greaves J. 9. Hirst G. 18. Johnson B. 20. McAteer K. 6. Neil D. 1. Palmer A. (G)
Coaches
Robins M.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Smit M. ⚽, Rigo T. (A),
42', Clarke J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Bae J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 2 - 1, Bocat E. (Own goal),
58', Taylor J. 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Taylor J. ⚽,
69', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
69', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
70', Bocat E. ↓, Agina S. ↑,
70', Tchamadeu J. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
75', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Hirst G. ⚽, Kipre C. (A),
84', Bae J. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
86', Clarke J. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
86', Matusiwa A. ↓, Neil D. ↑,
90+2', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
90+5', Kipre C. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 3, Smit M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent form of Stoke has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ipswich is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ipswich is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Injury) Baker L. (Inactive) Bazunu G. (Thigh Injury) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Cresswell A. (Calf Injury) Gallagher S. (Hamstring Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Lawal B. (Inactive) Mubama D. (Ankle Injury) Thomas S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Ipswich: Button D. (Inactive) Philogene J. (Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury) Young A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Bocat E. (Injury) Wilmot B. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stoke	9	5	1	3	15:13	2	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
07.03.26	Swansea City - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Coventry City - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Stoke City - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Stoke City - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Stoke City - Fulham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
07.03.26	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Ipswich Town - Hull City	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ipswich Town - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
24.02.26	Watford - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.12.25	Ipswich Town - Stoke City	1:0
01.01.24	Stoke City - Ipswich Town	0:0
12.08.23	Ipswich Town - Stoke City	2:0
16.02.19	Ipswich Town - Stoke City	1:1
08.12.18	Stoke City - Ipswich Town	2:0

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