Match Info

Championship - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Ipswich Town		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7	Watch
	1.45	4.41	7.29	Watch
	1.46	4.31	7.32	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.45	4.25	7	Watch
	1.45	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	4.27 ↑ (4.25)	7.1 ↑ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
64.9%

Draw
21.9%

Blackburn Rovers
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	4.3%	21.7%

Ipswich Town - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Blackburn will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ipswich (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ipswich (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ipswich (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 14. Taylor J. 8. Egeli S. W. 32. Nunez M. 11. Philogene J. 9. Hirst G.	22. Toth B. (G) 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 38. Atcheson T. 15. McLoughlin S. 20. Cashin E. 6. Tronstad S. 14. De Neve D. 24. Baradji M. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 18. Henriksson A. 23. Ohashi Y.
Substitutes
31. Azon I. 7. Burns W. 12. Cajuste J. 47. Clarke J. 24. Greaves J. 18. Johnson B. 1. Palmer A. (G) 23. Szmodics S. 15. Young A.	47. Doherty A. 28. Forshaw A. 30. Jorgensen M. 35. Michalski N. (G) 26. O'Riordan C. 3. Pickering H. 44. Powell B. 43. Pratt G. 4. Ribeiro Y.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Ismael V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Cashin E. (Own goal),
12', 2 - 0, Taylor J. ⚽,
25', Atcheson T. 🟨,
40', Philogene J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Henriksson A. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
68', Hirst G. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
68', Egeli S. W. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
69', Tronstad S. 🟨,
78', Nunez M. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
78', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
81', Cantwell T. 🟨,
86', Cashin E. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Szmodics S. ⚽, Burns W. (A),
90', Tronstad S. ↓, Forshaw A. ↑,
90', Ohashi Y. ↓, Doherty A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.

Ipswich is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Blackburn's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Blackburn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ipswich is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Hirst G. (Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Carter H. (Calf Injury) Forshaw A. (Hamstring Injury) Gudjohnsen A. (Injury) Kargbo A. (Leg Injury) Litherland M. (Injury) Morishita R. (Injury) Tavares S. (Inactive) Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Blackburn: De Neve D. (Injury) Dlamini N. (Injury) Hedges R. (Injury)

We predict that Ipswich will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2.3:1.4).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Blackburn: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14:13	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Ipswich Town - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.26	Ipswich Town - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
29.12.25	Coventry City - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Millwall - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTW
- Blackburn Rovers
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Ipswich Town	1:1
29.03.24	Blackburn Rovers - Ipswich Town	0:1
23.09.23	Ipswich Town - Blackburn Rovers	4:3
19.01.19	Blackburn Rovers - Ipswich Town	2:0
04.08.18	Ipswich Town - Blackburn Rovers	2:2
14.01.17	Ipswich Town - Blackburn Rovers	3:2
15.10.16	Blackburn Rovers - Ipswich Town	0:0

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