The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ipswich Town 69.9%
Draw 19.6%
Oxford United 10.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.5%
19.2%
10.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.1%
18%
9.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Oxford (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Oxford (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ipswich Town will win
(19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Oxford (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 12. Cajuste J. 8. Egeli S. W. 32. Nunez M. 11. Philogene J. 29. Akpom Ch.
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. (C) 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 7. Placheta P. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 4. Vaulks W. 19. Goodrham T. 50. Krastev F. 27. Lankshear W.
Substitutes
31. Azon I. 7. Burns W. 47. Clarke J. 24. Greaves J. 18. Johnson B. 20. McAteer K. 1. Palmer A. (G) 14. Taylor J. 15. Young A.
20. Bradshaw T. 23. Dembele S. 12. Harris L. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 22. Leigh G. 17. Mills S. 15. Spencer B. 11. ter Haar Romeny O.
Coaches
McKenna K.
Rowett G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Philogene J. ⚽, Cajuste J. (A),
23', Goodrham T. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
27', Dembele S. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Lankshear W. ⚽, Krastev F. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Akpom Ch. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
56', Akpom Ch. 🟨,
56', Brown C. 🟨,
61', Helik M. 🟨,
68', Nunez M. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
68', Egeli S. W. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
73', Krastev F. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
75', Vaulks W. 🟨,
76', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
76', Akpom Ch. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
84', Philogene J. ↓, Young A. ↑,
85', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1.
Ipswich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Oxford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Ipswich is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Ipswich: Clarke H.
(Knee Injury)
Hirst G.
(Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Oxford: ter Avest H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ipswich: Azon I.
(Injury)
Szmodics S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oxford: Brannagan C.
(Calf Injury)
Davies B.
(Inactive)
Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
United-kingdom
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Walton C. (G) 
O'Shea D. (C) 
Kipre C. 
Matusiwa A. 
Cajuste J. 
Egeli S. W. 
Nunez M. 
Helik M. (C) 
Brown C. 
De Keersmaecker B. 
Vaulks W. 
Krastev F. 
Azon I. 
Dembele S. 
Leigh G. 
ter Haar Romeny O. 
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