Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	16:30	ESPN 3
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	06:30	Optus Sport
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Brazil	16:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	fubo Sports Network 2 DRM
China	03:30	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:30	CANAL+ Action
Denmark	20:30	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	20:30	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:30	Sky Sport Mix
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	03:30	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	20:30	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:00	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	02:30	Vidio
Israel	21:30	Sport 2
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251
Japan	04:30	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:30	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	03:30	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Sooka
Mexico	13:30	HBO Max, MAX
Mongolia	03:30	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Poland	20:30	Viaplay
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 2
Romania	21:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	03:30	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	04:30	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	20:30	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 2
Usa	14:30	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Vietnam	02:30	ON Plus
International	19:30	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Ipswich Town		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.95
	3.75	3.6	1.98
	3.85	3.8	1.98	Watch
	3.9	3.79	1.96	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.81	3.7	2.01	Watch
	3.85	3.8	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (3.82)	3.7 ↓ (3.81)	1.97 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
25.3%

Draw
26%

Brighton & Hove Albion
48.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.1%

25.3%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

23.6%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.7%	26.3%	53.9%

Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 15 - 20.3%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 40 - 54.1%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 42.7% – 65.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 7. Burns W. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 6. Woolfenden L. 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 20. Hutchinson O. 8. Phillips K. 12. Cajuste J. 33. Broadhead N. 19. Delap L.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 29. van Hecke J. P. 4. Webster A. (C) 30. Estupinan P. 20. Baleba C. 26. Ayari Y. 11. Adingra S. 33. O'Riley M. 22. Mitoma K. 9. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
47. Clarke J. 44. Godfrey B. 27. Hirst G. 18. Johnson B. 25. Luongo M. 5. Morsy S. 1. Muric A. (G) 14. Taylor J. 22. Townsend C.	5. Dunk L. 10. Enciso J. 2. Lamptey T. 7. March S. 17. Minteh Y. 15. Moder J. 14. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 18. Welbeck D.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Delap L. 🟨,
54', Joao Pedro 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Mitoma K. ⚽, O'Riley M. (A),
62', Woolfenden L. 🟨,
63', Webster A. ↓, Dunk L. ↑,
63', O'Riley M. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
63', Adingra S. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
71', Burns W. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
71', Cajuste J. ↓, Morsy S. ↑,
78', Joao Pedro ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Rutter G. ⚽,
84', Delap L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
84', Phillips K. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
90+1', Veltman J. 🟨,
90+4', Ayari Y. ↓, Moder J. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Brighton & Hove will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ipswich: Chaplin C. (Knee Injury) Hutchinson O. (Groin Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Szmodics S. (Ankle Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Gomez D. (Inactive) Hinshelwood J. (Knee Injury) Igor (Thigh Injury) Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) Wieffer M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Joao Pedro (Ankle Injury) Lamptey T. (Illness) Minteh Y. (Injury) Rutter G. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Ipswich Town - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.01.25	Fulham - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
30.12.24	Ipswich Town - Chelsea	2:0 ✺
27.12.24	Arsenal - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ipswich Town - Newcastle United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTWLL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Norwich City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:4 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
30.12.24	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
27.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.09.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	0:0
English League Championship
14.02.17	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	1:1
27.09.16	Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
29.12.15	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	0:1
29.08.15	Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3
21.01.15	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town	3:2
16.09.14	Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0

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