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Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 21
  • Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday
  • Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)
  • Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Ipswich Town Brighton & Hove Albion
    Ipswich Town Brighton & Hove Albion
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 3.8 ↓
    (3.82)    		 3.7 ↓
    (3.81)    		 1.97 ↑
    (1.94)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Ipswich Town
    25.3%    		Draw
    26%    		Brighton & Hove Albion
    48.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    25.1% 25.3% 49.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    26.9% 23.6% 46.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    19.7% 26.3% 53.9%

    Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 15 - 20.3%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 40 - 54.1%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 25.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 42.7% โ€“ 65.5%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    28. EnglandWalton C. (G)
      7. WalesBurns W.
    26. IrelandO'Shea D. (C)
      6. EnglandWoolfenden L.
    24. EnglandGreaves J.
      3. EnglandDavis L.
    20. EnglandHutchinson O.
      8. EnglandPhillips K.
    12. SwedenCajuste J.
    33. WalesBroadhead N.
    19. EnglandDelap L.
    		  1. NetherlandsVerbruggen B. (G)
    34. NetherlandsVeltman J.
    29. Netherlandsvan Hecke J. P.
      4. EnglandWebster A. (C)
    30. EcuadorEstupinan P.
    20. CameroonBaleba C.
    26. SwedenAyari Y.
    11. IvoryAdingra S.
    33. DenmarkO'Riley M.
    22. JapanMitoma K.
      9. BrazilJoao Pedro
    Substitutes
    47. EnglandClarke J.
    44. EnglandGodfrey B.
    27. EnglandHirst G.
    18. EnglandJohnson B.
    25. AustraliaLuongo M.
      5. EgyptMorsy S.
      1. KosovoMuric A. (G)
    14. IrelandTaylor J.
    22. EnglandTownsend C.
    		  5. EnglandDunk L.
    10. ParaguayEnciso J.
      2. GhanaLamptey T.
      7. EnglandMarch S.
    17. GambiaMinteh Y.
    15. PolandModer J.
    14. FranceRutter G.
    23. EnglandSteele J. (G)
    18. EnglandWelbeck D.
    Coaches
         NorthernMcKenna K.
    		     GermanyHurzeler F.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
    • 49', Delap L. 🟨,
    • 54', Joao Pedro 🟨,
    • 59', 0 - 1, Mitoma K. ⚽, O'Riley M. (A),
    • 62', Woolfenden L. 🟨,
    • 63', Webster A. ↓, Dunk L. ↑,
    • 63', O'Riley M. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
    • 63', Adingra S. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
    • 71', Burns W. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
    • 71', Cajuste J. ↓, Morsy S. ↑,
    • 78', Joao Pedro ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
    • 81', 0 - 2, Rutter G. ⚽,
    • 84', Delap L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
    • 84', Phillips K. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
    • 90+1', Veltman J. 🟨,
    • 90+4', Ayari Y. ↓, Moder J. ↑,

    Preview

  • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 1.
  • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
  • Brighton & Hove will have a small advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Ipswich: Chaplin C. (Knee Injury) Hutchinson O. (Groin Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Szmodics S. (Ankle Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Gomez D. (Inactive) Hinshelwood J. (Knee Injury) Igor (Thigh Injury) Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) Wieffer M. (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Joao Pedro (Ankle Injury) Lamptey T. (Illness) Minteh Y. (Injury) Rutter G. (Injury)
  • Last 12 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.1:1.2).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Ipswich Town
    English FA Cup
    12.01.25 Ipswich Town - Bristol Rovers 3:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    05.01.25 Fulham - Ipswich Town 2:2 ✺
    30.12.24 Ipswich Town - Chelsea 2:0 ✺
    27.12.24 Arsenal - Ipswich Town 1:0 ✺
    21.12.24 Ipswich Town - Newcastle United 0:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9
    WTWLL
    - Brighton & Hove Albion
    English FA Cup
    11.01.25 Norwich City - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:4 ✺
    English Premier League
    04.01.25 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    30.12.24 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    27.12.24 Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford 0:0 ✺
    21.12.24 West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8
    WTTTT
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    14.09.24 Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town 0:0
    English League Championship
    14.02.17 Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town 1:1
    27.09.16 Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:0
    29.12.15 Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town 0:1
    29.08.15 Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:3
    21.01.15 Brighton & Hove Albion - Ipswich Town 3:2
    16.09.14 Ipswich Town - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Ipswich Town
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Ipswich Town - Fulham ✺
    - Brighton & Hove Albion
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    15.10.26 Brighton & Hove Albion - Kauno ลฝalgiris ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion ✺

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