Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 20

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Bond D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League
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Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
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Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Fulham		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.75
	1.58	4.1	6
	1.6	4.15	6.2	Watch
	1.53	4.6	6.32
	1.62	4.23	5.46	Watch
	1.6	4	5.5
	1.59	4.31	5.9	Watch
	1.6	4.15	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	4.22 ↓ (4.59)	5.92 ↓ (6.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
60.9%

Draw
22.9%

Ipswich Town
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20.9%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.3%	18%	6.7%

Fulham - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 67 - 76.1%). Ipswich will win (votes: 5 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 67.2% – 85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 31. Diop I. 5. Andersen J. 3. Bassey C. 10. Cairney T. (C) 20. Lukic S. 17. Iwobi A. 8. Wilson H. 33. Robinson A. 7. Jimenez R.	28. Walton C. (G) 26. O'Shea D. 6. Woolfenden L. 24. Greaves J. 18. Johnson B. 5. Morsy S. (C) 12. Cajuste J. 3. Davis L. 33. Broadhead N. 23. Szmodics S. 19. Delap L.
Substitutes
23. Benda S. (G) 15. Cuenca J. 47. Godo M. 24. King J. 18. Pereira A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz 30. Sessegnon R. 32. Smith Rowe E. 11. Traore A.	16. Al-Hamadi A. 15. Burgess C. 7. Burns W. 2. Clarke H. 47. Clarke J. 1. Muric A. (G) 8. Phillips K. 14. Taylor J. 22. Townsend C.
Coaches
Silva M.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Davis L. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Szmodics S. ⚽,
39', Broadhead N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Diop I. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
64', Cairney T. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
64', Iwobi A. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
66', O'Shea D. 🟨,
68', Morsy S. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Jimenez R. (Pen),
71', 1 - 2, Delap L. (Pen),
73', Szmodics S. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
73', Cajuste J. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
78', Johnson B. 🟨,
79', Lukic S. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
80', Broadhead N. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
80', Johnson B. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
88', Delap L. ↓, Al-Hamadi A. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Jimenez R. (Pen),
90+3', Pereira A. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fulham won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fulham is a favorite.

There will not play in Fulham: Berge S. (Ankle Injury) Nelson R. (Thigh Injury) Reed H. (Knee Injury) Tete K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Chaplin C. (Knee Injury) Donacien J. (Ankle Injury) Hirst G. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Luongo M. (Illness)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fulham won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:11 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Fulham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
29.12.24	Fulham - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Chelsea - Fulham	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Fulham - Southampton	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Liverpool - Fulham	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Fulham - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TWTTT
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
30.12.24	Ipswich Town - Chelsea	2:0 ✺
27.12.24	Arsenal - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ipswich Town - Newcastle United	0:4 ✺
14.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
31.08.24	Ipswich Town - Fulham	1:1
English League Cup
01.11.23	Ipswich Town - Fulham	1:3
16.09.20	Ipswich Town - Fulham	0:1
English League Championship
02.01.18	Fulham - Ipswich Town	4:1
26.08.17	Ipswich Town - Fulham	0:2
08.04.17	Fulham - Ipswich Town	3:1
26.12.16	Ipswich Town - Fulham	0:2

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