Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Action
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio
Usa	Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 2, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Ipswich Town		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.42
	7.25	5	1.4
	7.4	5.2	1.42	Watch
	7.2	5.17	1.42
	8.29	5.23	1.39	Watch
	7	4.8	1.4
	7.33	5.19	1.44	Watch
	7.8	5.3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.47 ↑ (6.64)	5.08 ↑ (4.99)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
12.9%

Draw
18.9%

Chelsea
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

19.2%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

18%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.8%	7.4%	86.8%

Ipswich Town - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (104 of 119 users predict this - 87.39%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.43% – 93.35%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 26. O'Shea D. 6. Woolfenden L. 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 12. Cajuste J. 7. Burns W. 20. Hutchinson O. 33. Broadhead N. 19. Delap L.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 2. Disasi A. 4. Adarabioyo T. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 11. Madueke N. 20. Palmer C. 14. Joao Felix 18. Nkunku C.
Substitutes
16. Al-Hamadi A. 10. Chaplin C. 47. Clarke J. 18. Johnson B. 1. Muric A. (G) 8. Phillips K. 23. Szmodics S. 14. Taylor J. 22. Townsend C.	34. Acheampong J. 38. Guiu M. 27. Gusto M. 15. Jackson N. 24. James R. 7. Neto P. 1. Sanchez R. (G) 19. Sancho J. 40. Veiga R.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Delap L. (Pen),
32', O'Shea D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Hutchinson O. ⚽, Delap L. (A),
55', Joao Felix ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
65', Nkunku C. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
67', Caicedo M. 🟨,
77', Disasi A. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
77', Madueke N. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
77', Broadhead N. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
77', Cajuste J. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
83', Delap L. 🟨,
86', Burns W. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
88', Davis L. 🟨,
88', Gusto M. 🟨,
88', Colwill L. 🟨,
90+4', Hutchinson O. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
90+4', Delap L. ↓, Al-Hamadi A. ↑,
90+5', Fernandez E. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Ipswich is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chelsea is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ipswich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chelsea is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Donacien J. (Ankle Injury) Hirst G. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Injury) Fofana W. (Muscle Injury) James R. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Chukwuemeka C. (Illness) Dewsbury-Hall K. (Knock) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
27.12.24	Arsenal - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ipswich Town - Newcastle United	0:4 ✺
14.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
03.12.24	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
26.12.24	Chelsea - Fulham	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Everton - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Chelsea - Shamrock Rovers	5:1 ✺
English Premier League
15.12.24	Chelsea - Brentford	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Astana - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWWW

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