Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 1
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Netherlands	Viaplay
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Disney+


	Norwich City		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.44
	6	4.6	1.47
	6.5	5	1.45	Watch
	5.35	4.17	1.59
	6.23	4.76	1.44	Watch
	6	4.6	1.44
	6.78	5.04	1.47	Watch
	6.5	5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↑ (5.21)	4.71 ↑ (4.13)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
15.1%

Draw
20.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.9%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

22.3%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brighton & Hove Albion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Norwich City - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Long G. (G) 3. Stacey J. 33. Cordoba J. 6. Doyle C. 14. Chrisene B. 18. Forson A. 23. McLean K. (C) 26. Nunez M. 29. Schwartau O. 22. Dobbin L. 17. Crnac A.	23. Steele J. (C) 34. Veltman J. 4. Webster A. 29. van Hecke J. P. 30. Estupinan P. 20. Baleba C. 26. Ayari Y. 17. Minteh Y. 10. Enciso J. 22. Mitoma K. 14. Rutter G.
Substitutes
4. Duffy S. 35. Fisher K. 21. Gordon K. 1. Gunn A. (G) 25. Hernandez O. 40. Hills B. 47. Mahovo L. 44. Myles E. 9. Sargent J.	11. Adingra S. 8. Gruda B. 7. March S. 44. McConville R. 15. Moder J. 33. O'Riley M. 48. Turns E. 1. Verbruggen B. (G) 18. Welbeck D.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Rutter G. ⚽, Veltman J. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Rutter G. ⚽, Minteh Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Doyle C. ↓, Hills B. ↑,
46', Forson A. ↓, Fisher K. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Enciso J. ⚽,
61', Nunez M. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
63', Enciso J. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
63', Rutter G. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
71', Minteh Y. ↓, March S. ↑,
71', Webster A. ↓, McConville R. ↑,
74', 0 - 4, March S. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),
79', Veltman J. ↓, Moder J. ↑,
79', Crnac A. ↓, Sargent J. ↑,
79', Chrisene B. ↓, Duffy S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Norwich won 0.

Norwich is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brighton & Hove is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brighton & Hove could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brighton & Hove is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Norwich won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
04.01.25	Norwich City - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Luton Town - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
29.12.24	Norwich City - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Norwich City - Millwall	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Sunderland - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
04.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
30.12.24	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
27.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.04.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Norwich City	0:0
16.10.21	Norwich City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
04.07.20	Norwich City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1
02.11.19	Brighton & Hove Albion - Norwich City	2:0
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Norwich City - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
English League Championship
21.04.17	Norwich City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
29.10.16	Brighton & Hove Albion - Norwich City	5:0

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