Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Sergio León Chavez (Irapuato)

Referee: Garcia Olvera L. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Irapuato		Atlético La Paz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.75	3.9	Watch
	1.77	4.2	4.02
	1.76	4.17	3.93	Watch
	1.73	3.7	3.9
	1.74	3.78	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.57)	3.92 ↓ (4.27)	3.92 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato
52.8%

Draw
23.6%

Atlético La Paz
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

21.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

21.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irapuato's form might have worsened.

Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irapuato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Irapuato - Atlético La Paz Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Irapuato will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 3. Alvarado V. 8. Cruz C. 28. Gamboa J. 27. Martinez G. 31. Pena R. 10. Rangel J. 24. Rodriguez A. 34. Ruiz J. 16. Sandoval R. 9. Vasquez Velasquez L. S.	33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 92. Alvarez D. 10. Barragan M. (C) 22. Daccarett J. 16. Del Aguila Y. 27. Garcia G. 25. Illescas F. 12. Millan O. 21. Robles C. 2. Vazquez S.
Substitutes
6. del Angel E. 5. Elbis 33. Gonzalez R. 29. Gutierrez L. 1. Magana G. (G) 22. Munoz G. 11. Partida E. 14. Rubio R. 36. Salazar J. 25. Sanchez B.	17. Chiu L. 6. Hernandez D. 19. Jaimes U. 1. Moreno C. (G) 11. Renteria R. 30. Robles A. 3. Rodriguez G. 8. Soto A. 26. Yanez J.
Coaches
Alcantar D.	Castillo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Illescas F. ⚽, Barragan M. (A),
9', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
22', Millan O. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Cruz C. ⚽,
50', Sandoval R. 🟨,
52', Rodriguez A. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽,
62', Martinez G. 🟨,
63', Vazquez S. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
64', Alvarez D. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
64', Daccarett J. ↓, Yanez J. ↑,
75', Millan O. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
75', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
85', Rangel J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
90+1', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Elbis ↑,
90+1', Cruz C. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
90+1', Gamboa J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Irapuato has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético La Paz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Atlético La Paz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Irapuato is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atletico La Paz	11	6	2	3	24:13	11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.03.26	Atlético Morelia - Irapuato	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Irapuato - Cancún	2:2 ✺
13.03.26	Correcaminos UAT - Irapuato	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	6:2 ✺
25.02.26	Irapuato - Atlante	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL
- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cancún - Atlético La Paz	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.10.25	Atlético La Paz - Irapuato	2:2

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