Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	21:00	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 6, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 6
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 5
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 4
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	14:00	Claro Sports, Disney+
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Sporza
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.5
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2.15	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.74
	2.11	3.38	3.58	Watch
	2.14	3.36	3.56
	2.15	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)	3.31 ↓ (3.6)	3.53 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
44.5%

Draw
28.6%

Cercle Brugge
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.4%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.6%	19.3%	21.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 34 - 63%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 11 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 50.1% – 75.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 72. Skrzypczak M. 23. Ebosse E. 44. Moutinho J. 11. Imaz J. (C) 31. Flach L. 14. Kubicki J. 20. Villar Miki 10. Pululu A. 21. Churlinov D.	21. Delanghe M. (G) 2. Diakite I. 5. Perrin L. 3. Utkus E. 7. Efekele M. 17. Francis A. 6. Agyekum L. 20. Nazinho 34. Somers T. (C) 11. Minda A. 10. Felipe Augusto
Substitutes
82. Costa Silva T. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 99. Hansen K. 86. Mazurek B. 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 6. Romanczuk T. 51. Rybak A. 3. Stojinovic D. 1. Stryjek M. (G)	30. Bruninho 13. Brunner P. 94. De Bel T. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 8. Erick 23. Jurado H. 84. Langenbick B. (G) 76. Lietaert J. 15. Magnee G. 66. Ravych C. 28. van der Bruggen H. 1. Warleson (G)
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Feldhofer F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Stojinovic D. ↑,
24', Francis A. 🟨,
40', Flach L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Perrin L. ↓, Ravych C. ↑,
59', Francis A. 🟨,
61', Flach L. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
61', Churlinov D. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
62', Villar Miki 🟨,
68', Nazinho ↓, Magnee G. ↑,
68', Minda A. ↓, Erick ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Pululu A. (Pen),
75', 2 - 0, Romanczuk T. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
76', Agyekum L. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
77', Feldhofer F. 🟨,
78', 3 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
84', Felipe Augusto ↓, Brunner P. ↑,
85', Villar Miki ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
85', Kubicki J. ↓, Costa Silva T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cercle Brugge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jagiellonia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Ouattara A. K. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Hansen K. (Illness) Moutinho J. (Illness)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Ngoura S. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.03.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.02.25	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.02.25	Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Bačka Topola	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWW
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.25	Cercle Brugge - Royal Antwerp	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Kortrijk - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cercle Brugge - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Genk - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Cercle Brugge - Standard Liège	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTTLT

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