The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 23.8%
Draw 21.3%
Excelsior 54.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.6%
21%
59.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
21%
59.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Jong AZ (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Deen D. (G) 2. van Aken J. 4. Schouten L. 5. Engel M. 3. Berkhout J. 10. Robbemond R. 6. Twisk N. 8. Kalisvaart J. 7. Toppenberg K. 9. van Duijn S. 11. Daal R.
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 15. Naujoks N. 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 6. Blomme X. 17. Martens N. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Duijvestijn L. 7. Fini S. 33. Bergraaf J.
Substitutes
14. Inge K. 16. Kuijsten T. (G) 17. Lenssen L. 12. Menu M. 21. Oud J. 18. Oulhaj A. 19. Smits A. 20. Splinter I. 15. van Duijl B.
11. Booth Z. 28. Cairo G. 40. Danquah E. (G) 32. de Moes S. 21. Donkor J. 24. Eijgenraam J. 9. Omorowa R. 14. Rosario R. 8. Tielemans M.
Coaches
Echteld L.
den Uil R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Naujoks N. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Robbemond R. ⚽,
41', van Aken J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Berkhout J. 🟨,
61', Naujoks N. ↓, Tielemans M. ↑,
62', Schouten L. ↓, van Duijl B. ↑,
68', Toppenberg K. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
68', Berkhout J. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
72', Warmerdam D. 🟨,
73', Bergraaf J. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
73', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
73', Fini S. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
78', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
81', Warmerdam D. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
84', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Splinter I. ↑,
86', Robbemond R. ↓, Lenssen L. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, van Duijn S. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
Excelsior is Qualified for Eredivisie
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
Jong AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Excelsior is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Excelsior is the team to beat.
There will not play in Jong AZ: Esajas J.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.7:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Netherlands
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Deen D. (G) 
Zagre A. 
Blomme X. 
Fini S. 
Booth Z. 
Omorowa R. 
Rosario R. 
