Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 15

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		Groningen

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.95
	3.4	3.5	1.9
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.68	3.85	2.02
	3.72	3.84	1.98
	3.3	3.6	1.91
	3.52	3.76	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.65	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.26)	3.72 ↑ (3.71)	1.96 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.8%

Draw
25.2%

Groningen
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

25.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Groningen will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 2. van Aken J. 3. Goes W. (C) 4. Dekker M. 5. Stam F. 8. Dekkers S. 6. Postma L. 7. Kewal R. 10. Reverson D. 14. Engel M. 9. Meerdink M.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 5. Rente M. 12. Balker R. 43. Peersman M. 50. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 7. Hove J. 4. Pelupessy J. 40. Valente L. 29. Postema R. 25. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
12. Berkhout J. 22. Buurmeester J. 23. Deen D. (G) 21. Gerold J. 20. Kalisvaart J. 18. Kerssens T. 17. Koster N.	8. Bacuna L. 45. Baron D. (G) 20. Blokzijl T. 47. de Jonge T. 6. Duarte L. 22. Emeran N. 10. Irandust D. 17. Lien K. 18. Maatta I. 19. Van Gelderen L. 9. van Veen K. 1. Verrips M. (G)
Coaches
Sierksma J.	Lukkien D.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Jong AZ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Groningen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Groningen will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Jong AZ: Twisk N. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.11.23	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
10.11.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
27.10.23	Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTLW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.11.23	Groningen - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Roda - Groningen	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Groningen - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.11.23	Rijnsburgse Boys - Groningen	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.10.23	Cambuur - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWL

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