Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 14

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Roda		Groningen

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	3.1
	2.15	3.6	2.85
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.17	3.82	3.22
	2.2	3.8	3.16
	2.05	3.6	3
	2.14	3.7	3.08	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.07)	3.68 ↓ (3.78)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
43.8%

Draw
25.5%

Groningen
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

24.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Roda - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Groningen will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hamers L. (G) 44. Reith B. 3. Didden M. 4. Koglin B. 5. Bijleveld T. 21. Kongolo R. (C) 6. Spieringhs W. 25. Ouaissa S. 10. Ould Chikh W. 7. Pena-Zauner E. 9. Schmid M.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 5. Rente M. 12. Balker R. 43. Peersman M. 50. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 7. Hove J. 4. Pelupessy J. 40. Valente L. 29. Postema R. 25. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
27. Bangura S. 20. Been L. 15. Beerten L. 14. Daneels L. 29. Guclu M. 19. Krasniqi L. 11. Pourie M. 13. Roseler N. 18. Sposito F. 23. Steins J. (G) 26. van der Heide A. 8. Vossebelt N.	11. Abraham P. 45. Baron D. (G) 20. Blokzijl T. 6. Duarte L. 22. Emeran N. 10. Irandust D. 17. Lien K. 18. Maatta I. 44. Meijster J. (G) 24. Musampa Nordin N. 19. Van Gelderen L. 9. van Veen K.
Coaches
Sibum B.	Lukkien D.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roda won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Groningen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Roda won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Roda won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.11.23	FC Eindhoven - Roda	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.11.23	NEC Nijmegen - Roda	5:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.23	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Roda - Willem II	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWLT
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.11.23	Groningen - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.11.23	Rijnsburgse Boys - Groningen	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.10.23	Cambuur - Groningen	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Groningen - Emmen	0:0 ✺
20.10.23	De Graafschap - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
15.04.18	Groningen - Roda	2:1
10.12.17	Roda - Groningen	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
25.10.17	Roda - Groningen	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
12.03.17	Roda - Groningen	3:1
09.12.16	Groningen - Roda	2:0
19.04.16	Groningen - Roda	1:0
06.12.15	Roda - Groningen	0:0

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