The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 43.3%
Draw 25.5%
Telstar 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
24.3%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
24%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong AZ Alkmaar's performance.
Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Telstar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Telstar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
8.3%
50%
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Telstar Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Telstar will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Deen D. (G) 2. Kasius D. 3. Berkhout J. (C) 4. Dekker M. 5. Engel M. 8. Kalisvaart J. 6. Schouten L. 7. Gerold J. 10. Daal R. 11. Robbemond R. 9. van Duijn S.
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. 21. Koswal D. 12. Overtoom T. 11. Noslin T. 8. Turfkruier J. 25. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 23. Hetli S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 9. El Kachati Y.
Substitutes
24. Lenssen L. 18. Menu M. 14. Olofsson W. 21. Oulhaj A. 16. Schilder K. (G) 22. Splinter I. . Toppenberg K. 12. van Aken J. 15. van Duijl B.
24. Benzzine A. 28. Bodak T. (G) 16. Douiri A. 19. Hagedoorn S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 15. Lechkar A. 5. Lobbes J. 18. van Ekeris R. 26. van Schooneveld J.
Coaches
Echteld L.
Correia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Apau M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Owusu T. ⚽, Hamdaoui M. (A),
30', Gerold J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, El Kachati Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', van Duijn S. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
60', Kasius D. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
69', Hamdaoui M. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
69', Overtoom T. ↓, van Ekeris R. ↑,
76', Robbemond R. ↓, Splinter I. ↑,
76', Gerold J. ↓, Oulhaj A. ↑,
77', Hetli S. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
77', El Kachati Y. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
81', Schouten L. ↓, Lenssen L. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Daal R. (Pen),
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong AZ won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Recently Jong AZ have a series of guest games.
Telstar will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Jong AZ: Addai J.
(Ankle Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Telstar: Bakker D.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Jong AZ: Meerdink M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Telstar: Rossen N.
(Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Jong AZ won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:19 (average 0.9:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Jong AZ won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
Finland
Netherlands
Watch
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Deen D. (G) 
Gerold J. 
Noslin T. 
El Kachati Y. 
Olofsson W. 
