Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 22

Date: 19 February 2024, Monday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	NAC Breda		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.15	3.6	2.87
	2.15	3.75	3	Watch
	2.18	3.7	3.1
	2.23	3.85	3.08
	2.05	3.6	3
	2.16	3.76	2.97	Watch
	2.11	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)	3.68 ↑ (3.64)	2.99 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
43.5%

Draw
25.3%

Cambuur
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

25.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

NAC Breda - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kortsmit R. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 21. Royo M. 20. Jensen F. 22. Omgba A. 6. Staring C. 11. Sejdiu P. 10. Omarsson E. 39. Janosek D.	1. van Osch Y. (G) 25. Ottesen S. 4. Bergsma L. 3. Smand F. 5. Poll T. 14. Breij M. 8. van Kaam D. (C) 7. Balk R. 10. De Jong F. 19. Smit M. 9. Uldrikis R.
Substitutes
23. Besselink R. 19. Boere T. 28. de Wijs S. 9. Haugen S. 14. Kaied A. 3. Koscelnik M. 49. Troost T. (G) 25. Valerius C. 36. van de Merbel P. (G) 35. van Schuppen B.	21. de Koe M. 49. Kooistra W. 23. Minnema B. (G) 40. Nartey M. 20. Pichel V. 16. Reiziger D. (G) 27. Sylla S. 15. Tol M. 22. van der Meer J. 17. Wormgoor V.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	de Jong H.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cambuur have a series of home games.

Breda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Breda won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.02.24	Telstar - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	NAC Breda - FC Eindhoven	2:2 ✺
02.02.24	NAC Breda - De Graafschap	0:0 ✺
26.01.24	Helmond Sport - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Emmen - NAC Breda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTTLW
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.02.24	Cambuur - Jong Utrecht	2:4 ✺
10.02.24	Cambuur - VVV-Venlo	3:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
07.02.24	Cambuur - Vitesse	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.24	Willem II - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Cambuur - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.10.23	Cambuur - NAC Breda	2:3
12.05.21	Cambuur - NAC Breda	3:2
20.10.20	NAC Breda - Cambuur	0:4
23.08.19	NAC Breda - Cambuur	1:0
07.04.17	NAC Breda - Cambuur	0:2
25.11.16	Cambuur - NAC Breda	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
20.02.15	NAC Breda - Cambuur	2:1

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