Match Info

Date: 23 April 2021, Friday


	Jong Ajax		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	3	3.8	2.1
	2.85	3.5	2.1
	2.85	3.75	2.2
	2.85	3.7	2.14
	2.98	4.05	2.25
	2.8	3.6	2.1
	2.92	3.95	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.16)	3.76 ↓ (3.77)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
32.1%

Draw
24.7%

NEC Nijmegen
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

24.6%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

16.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jong Ajax - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion)).

Recent matches Jong Ajax is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nijmegen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nijmegen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Jong Ajax won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.04.21	FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax	3:0 ✺
09.04.21	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	0:1 ✺
05.04.21	Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
02.04.21	Jong Ajax - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
19.03.21	Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTW
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.04.21	NEC Nijmegen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
09.04.21	Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	1:1 ✺
02.04.21	Almere City - NEC Nijmegen	2:0 ✺
19.03.21	FC Oss - NEC Nijmegen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.20	NEC Nijmegen - Jong Ajax	2:1
24.01.20	NEC Nijmegen - Jong Ajax	3:3
19.08.19	Jong Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	3:3
29.03.19	NEC Nijmegen - Jong Ajax	1:2
09.11.18	Jong Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	4:0
16.04.18	Jong Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:0
06.04.18	Jong Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	2:0

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