Match Info

Date: 16 April 2021, Friday


	NEC Nijmegen		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	5
	1.45	4.5	5
	1.46	4.5	6
	1.5	4.3	5.2
	1.53	4.57	6.2
	1.44	4	6
	1.53	4.5	5.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	4.41 ↓ (4.76)	5.59 ↓ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
62.5%

Draw
21%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.4%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

11.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

NEC Nijmegen - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion) and 17).

Nijmegen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jong AZ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Nijmegen is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.04.21	Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	1:1 ✺
02.04.21	Almere City - NEC Nijmegen	2:0 ✺
19.03.21	FC Oss - NEC Nijmegen	2:1 ✺
15.03.21	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.04.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	4:0 ✺
05.04.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
02.04.21	Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
19.03.21	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
15.03.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.11.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	0:3
21.10.19	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	0:2
01.04.19	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	4:0
04.11.18	NEC Nijmegen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:1
20.04.18	NEC Nijmegen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0
22.12.17	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	2:7

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