Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 15

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	Jong Utrecht		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.6
	4.75	4.1	1.57
	5	4.33	1.6	Watch
	5.21	4.4	1.6
	5.08	4.21	1.59	Watch
	5	3.9	1.57
	5	4.3	1.58	Watch
	5	4.33	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.84)	4.21 ↓ (4.35)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
18.7%

Draw
22.3%

Excelsior
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

21.4%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

21.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jong Utrecht - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: Excelsior will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Graaff T. (G) 2. Van Hees R. (C) 3. Viereck N. 14. Mukeh J. 5. Held N. 8. Jenner I. 6. Dundas N. 7. Rohd E. 10. van der Wegen S. 11. Blake A. 9. Charalampoglou G.	1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 32. de Moes S. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C) 20. Hartjes L. 21. Donkor J. 15. Naujoks N. 7. Fini S. 33. Bergraaf J.
Substitutes
20. Agougil O. 17. Akkerman M. 25. Boumenjal A. 19. den Boggende T. 31. Dithmer A. (G) 22. Driezen M. 18. Dris S. 21. Edhart L. 12. Ghaddari M. 24. Kloosterboer P. 23. Kooy W. 15. van Riel J.	24. Eijgenraam J. 23. Hatenboer C. 40. Holla T. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 14. Rosario R. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M. 12. Zagre A.
Coaches
van Dinteren I.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bergraaf J. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
32', Hartjes L. 🟨,
42', Van Hees R. 🟨,
45+1', Raatsie C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Donkor J. ↓, Sanches Fernandes D. ↑,
46', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Hatenboer C. ↑,
46', Fini S. 🟨,
69', van der Wegen S. ↓, Dris S. ↑,
69', Charalampoglou G. ↓, den Boggende T. ↑,
69', Rohd E. ↓, Akkerman M. ↑,
82', Warmerdam D. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
82', Hatenboer C. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
82', Blake A. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
87', Dundas N. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Jong Utrecht is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Excelsior is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Excelsior is a favorite.

There will not play in Jong Utrecht: Andersen S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury) Duijvestijn L. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Gadellaa K. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Jong Utrecht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.11.24	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3 ✺
08.11.24	Volendam - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht	4:3 ✺
25.10.24	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.11.24	Den Bosch - Excelsior	0:3 ✺
08.11.24	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Helmond Sport - Excelsior	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.24	Excelsior - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.10.24	Excelsior - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.02.22	Jong Utrecht - Excelsior	0:1
26.11.21	Excelsior - Jong Utrecht	2:1
12.03.21	Excelsior - Jong Utrecht	2:0
11.12.20	Jong Utrecht - Excelsior	3:2
10.08.19	Excelsior - Jong Utrecht	2:0

Upcoming Matches