The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Boys 62.1%
Draw 23%
Juan Pablo II College 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
24%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
22.9%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Boys's performance.
Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Boys that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo II College could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sport Boys - Juan Pablo II College Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 10. Alarcon J. 26. Riojas H. (C) 3. Zambrano C. 29. Loyola N. 13. Llontop M. 30. Liza P. 8. Da Campo N. 24. Mora O. 11. Urruti L. 9. Nequecaur L.
23. Vega M. (G) 16. Anton P. 3. Sanchez A. 24. Iriarte I. 31. Toledo J. 28. Duran J. 50. Alaniz M. 18. Ramirez E. 10. Cueva C. (C) 29. Tizon C. 39. Juambeltz M.
Substitutes
35. Alvarado D. 14. Diaz R. 28. Gonzales E. 23. Gonzales J. 5. Illanes F. 7. Lopez C. 36. Paz N. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J.
11. Aliaga R. 80. Barreto J. 30. Canova J. 8. Flores C. 5. Garcia C. 7. Henricks A. 22. Peralta M. 12. Quispe I. (G)
Coaches
Desio C.
Zuleta M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Iriarte I. 🟥,
25', Alarcon J. 🟨,
37', Da Campo N. 🟨,
41', Da Campo N. 🟨,
43', Desio C. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Toledo J. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
53', Urruti L. 🟨,
58', Duran J. 🟨,
60', Liza P. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Mora O. ⚽, Nequecaur L. (A),
67', Riojas H. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Cueva C. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Cueva C. 🟨,
77', Urruti L. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
77', Alarcon J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
82', Cueva C. ↓, Aliaga R. ↑,
86', Duran J. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
87', Juambeltz M. ↓, Henricks A. ↑,
89', Loyola N. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
90+3', Zambrano C. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).
Sport Boys has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Juan Pablo II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Sport Boys is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Sport Boys: Solis L.
(Knee Injury)
Trauco M.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Sport Boys: Dulanto G.
(Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Sport Boys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Peru
Usa
Watch
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Melian D. (G) 
Alarcon J. 
Da Campo N. 
Lopez C. 
Henricks A. 
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