Match Info

Date: 4 March 2020, Wednesday


	Junior Barranquilla		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.3	2
	3.65	3.2	2.04	Watch
	3.61	3.02	2.03
	3.76	3.25	2.06
	3.7	3.2	2.1
	3.7	3.22	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (3.92)	3.21 ↓ (3.49)	2.05 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
25.4%

Draw
29.1%

Flamengo
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.7%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Junior Barranquilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Junior Barranquilla - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
28.02.20	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
23.02.20	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
16.02.20	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
08.02.20	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
01.02.20	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTLW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
29.02.20	Cabofriense - Flamengo	1:4 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
26.02.20	Flamengo - Independiente del Valle	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.20	Boavista - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
19.02.20	Independiente del Valle - Flamengo	2:2 ✺
Supercopa do Brasil
16.02.20	Flamengo - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
30.11.17	Junior Barranquilla - Flamengo	0:2
23.11.17	Flamengo - Junior Barranquilla	2:1

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