Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, SportyNet


	Juventude		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.82	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.28	2.88	3.35
	2.4	2.93	3.61
	2.39	2.73	3.59	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.4
	2.32	2.84	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	3.44 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
40.3%

Draw
32.6%

Criciúma
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Juventude - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 22. Nathan Santos 5. Luan Martins 8. Lucas Mineiro 16. Diogo Barbosa 75. Rai Silva 10. MP 9. Alan Kardec	32. Airton (G) 43. Ruan Carvalho 34. Bruno Alves 4. Luciano Castan 6. Marcinho 8. Gui Lobo 7. Fellipe Mateus 22. Marcelo Hermes (C) 10. Jhonata Robert 11. Romarinho 13. Waguininho
Substitutes
25. Alisson Safira 17. Castro M. 36. Costa K. 11. Fabio Lima 79. Joao Scatolin 29. Junior C. 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 27. Ray Breno 3. Titi 6. Wadson	88. Caue Santos 77. Diego Goncalves 5. Eduardo 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 21. Joao Carlos 9. Nicolas 91. Otero R. 70. Pedro Santos (G) 50. Thiaguinho 97. Willean Lepo
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Luan Martins 🟨,
61', Romarinho ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
64', Bruno Alves 🟨,
65', Luciano Castan 🟨,
69', Ruan Carvalho 🟨,
70', Luan Martins ↓, Castro M. ↑,
76', Waguininho ↓, Caue Santos ↑,
76', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
76', Alan Kardec ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
76', Nathan Santos ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
83', Marcinho ↓, Willean Lepo ↑,
83', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Otero R. ↑,
90', MP ↓, Ly I. ↑,
90', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Wadson ↑,
90', Willean Lepo 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juventude could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Allanzinho (Injury) Mandaca (Inactive) Marcos Paulo (Yellow Cards) Pablo Roberto (Injury) Patryck (Inactive) Wadson (Injury)

There will not play in Criciúma: Alisson (Heel Injury) Cesar Martins (Thigh Injury) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Octavio Henrique (Muscle Injury) Rodrigo (Thigh Injury) Yuri Tanque (Inactive)

There are questionable in Juventude: Luan Martins (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	Juventude - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Cianorte - Juventude	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Juventude - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	São Paulo - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
02.05.26	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Fortaleza - Criciúma	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Goiás - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
27.07.24	Juventude - Criciúma	1:2
13.04.24	Criciúma - Juventude	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
30.09.23	Juventude - Criciúma	1:0
08.06.23	Criciúma - Juventude	0:1
04.09.18	Juventude - Criciúma	0:1
15.05.18	Criciúma - Juventude	0:0
12.09.17	Criciúma - Juventude	1:2

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