Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Juventus U23		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.3
	2.95	3.21	2.29	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.3
	3	3.02	2.29	Watch
	3	3.14	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.66)	3.06 ↓ (3.53)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus U23
30.6%

Draw
29.8%

Ascoli
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26.1%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Juventus U23 - Ascoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Vitale S. (G)
	9. Chakir M. A.
	80. Corradini G.
	30. Curado M.
	15. D'Uffizi S.
	17. Guiebre A.
	62. Milanese T.
	3. Nicoletti M.
	2. Pagliai G.
	25. Rizzo Pinna A.
	7. Silipo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Cudrig N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
59', Savio F. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Guerra S. ⚽,
70', Chakir M. A. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
70', Silipo A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
70', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
70', Milanese T. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
71', Nicoletti M. 🟨,
77', Bando A. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
80', Ndoj E. 🟨,
85', Okoro A. ↓, Deme S. ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', Anghele L. ↓, Pagnucco F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Juventus U23 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ascoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventus U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ascoli could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juventus U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ascoli - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
11.01.26	Livorno - Juventus U23	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Juventus U23 - Carpi	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Bra - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Juventus U23 - Pianese	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTTT
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Pianese - Ascoli	4:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ascoli - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Ascoli - Forlì	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.25	Ascoli - Juventus U23	0:0

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