Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Daystar Pacific, Onefootball


	Köln		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.32	3.55	2.92	Watch
	1.99	3.85	3.77
	1.97	3.70	3.66	Watch
	2.42	3.71	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.97)	3.68 ↓ (3.7)	3.25 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
43.8%

Draw
26.3%

Hamburger SV
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Köln - Hamburger SV Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Köln (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Hamburg (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Köln (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Köln will win (39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.21% – 92.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Köln will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 2. Schmied J. 39. Ozkacar C. 32. Lund K. 37. Maina L. 8. Huseinbasic D. 6. Martel E. 16. Kaminski J. 18. Johannesson I. 11. Kainz F. 9. Ache R.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 8. Elfadli D. 44. Vuskovic L. 28. Muheim M. 6. Lokonga A. S. 21. Remberg N. 20. Vieira F. 14. Philippe R. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
30. Bulter M. 17. Castro-Montes A. 13. El Mala S. 25. Gazibegovic J. 3. Heintz D. 5. Krauss T. 28. Sebulonsen S. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)	9. Glatzel R. 16. Gocholeishvili G. 23. Meffert J. 26. Peretz D. (G) 10. Pherai I. 15. Poulsen Y. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 22. Soumahoro A. 25. Torunarigha J.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Remberg N. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Ache R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Schmied J. ↓, Sebulonsen S. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Kainz F. ⚽,
59', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Dompe J. ⚽,
67', Kainz F. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
67', Maina L. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
67', Johannesson I. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
73', Ache R. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
74', Vieira F. 🟨,
77', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
77', Philippe R. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
78', Bulter M. 🟨,
78', Pherai I. 🟨,
79', Pherai I. 🟨,
79', Poulsen Y. 🟨,
83', Vieira F. 🟨,
84', Polzin M. 🟨,
90', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
90', Dompe J. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, El Mala S. ⚽, Kaminski J. (A),
90+9', 4 - 1, Kaminski J. ⚽, El Mala S. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.

Köln is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hamburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Köln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Thielmann J. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg R. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Hefti S. (Hip Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Köln	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Hoffenheim - Köln	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Köln - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWL
- Hamburger SV
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Hamburger SV - Mainz	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:0
02.08.24	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:2
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Köln - Hamburger SV	4:0
German DFB Pokal
18.01.22	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:2 penalties
German 2 Bundesliga
15.04.19	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:1
05.11.18	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:0
German Bundesliga
20.01.18	Hamburger SV - Köln	0:2

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