Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 7
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Hamburger SV		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.7	3.05	Watch
	2.38	3.8	2.9
	4.66	3.31	1.83	Watch
				Watch
	2.34	3.8	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.59)	3.64 ↓ (3.68)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
36.4%

Draw
27.6%

Wolfsburg
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.4%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.9%	13.9%	22.2%

Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 48.2% – 79.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Hamburg (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Hamburg (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Hamburg (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamburger SV will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. (C) 44. Vuskovic L. 8. Elfadli D. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 6. Lokonga A. S. 21. Remberg N. 28. Muheim M. 14. Philippe R. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.	1. Grabara K. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 14. Seelt J. 4. Koulierakis K. 25. Zehnter A. 5. Vini Souza 27. Arnold M. (C) 11. Daghim A. 24. Eriksen C. 9. Amoura M. 23. Wind J.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 23. Meffert J. 26. Peretz D. (G) 10. Pherai I. 15. Poulsen Y. 13. Ramos G. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 25. Torunarigha J. 20. Vieira F.	8. Dardai B. 31. Gerhardt Y. 21. Maehle J. 10. Majer L. 29. Muller M. (G) 17. Pejcinovic D. 7. Skov Olsen A. 32. Svanberg M. 39. Wimmer P.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Simonis P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Daghim A. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
24', Vini Souza 🟨,
28', Amoura M. 🟨,
45+1', Konigsdorffer R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Amoura M. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
57', Vini Souza ↓, Dardai B. ↑,
64', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
64', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
68', Wind J. 🟨,
68', Eriksen C. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
68', Wind J. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
71', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
71', Svanberg M. 🟨,
76', Simonis P. 🟨,
77', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
86', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,
89', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
89', Elfadli D. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
90', Wimmer P. 🟨,
90+6', Polzin M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2.

Recent performances by Hamburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Hamburg: Omari W. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Fischer K. (Ankle Injury) Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Hefti S. (Hip Injury) Soumahoro A. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Wimmer P. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Wolfsburg - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.92%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Hamburger SV - Mainz	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Wolfsburg - Köln	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.10.21	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	4:1
05.09.19	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:1
German Bundesliga
28.04.18	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:3
09.12.17	Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg	0:0
20.05.17	Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg	2:1
21.01.17	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0
07.05.16	Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg	0:1

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