Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.75	4
	1.82	3.45	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.85	4.21
	1.89	3.78	4.13	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.8
	1.79	4.06	4.02	Watch
	1.82	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.74)	3.74 ↓ (3.97)	3.93 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
50.9%

Draw
25.2%

Schalke 04
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	23.8%	4.8%

Köln - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Schalke will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 2. Schmied J. 6. Martel E. (C) 3. Heintz D. 25. Gazibegovic J. 8. Huseinbasic D. 47. Olesen M. 17. Paqarada L. 7. Ljubicic D. 42. Downs D. 37. Maina L.	28. Heekeren J. (G) 26. Kalas T. 6. Schallenberg R. 35. Kaminski M. 5. Murkin D. J. 37. Gruger M. 14. Bachmann J. 23. Aydin M. 19. Karaman K. (C) 29. Mohr T. 10. Ba P. M.
Substitutes
35. Finkgrafe M. 11. Kainz F. 46. Kujovic E. 26. Racioppi A. (G) 27. Rondic I. 49. Telle N. 29. Thielmann J. 21. Tigges S. 9. Waldschmidt L.	18. Antwi-Adjei C. 25. Barkok A. 30. Donkor A. 17. Gantenbein A. 24. Hamache I. 27. Karius L. (G) 34. Langer M. (G) 2. Sanchez F. 8. Younes A.
Coaches
Struber G.	Van Wonderen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Schmied J. 🟨,
39', Olesen M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Downs D. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martel E. ↓, Telle N. ↑,
57', Olesen M. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
57', Ljubicic D. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
62', Aydin M. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
62', Ba P. M. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
62', Bachmann J. ↓, Barkok A. ↑,
72', Downs D. 🟨,
73', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
81', Downs D. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
81', Mohr T. ↓, Antwi-Adjei C. ↑,
81', Gruger M. ↓, Younes A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 3.

Recent matches Köln is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schalke is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Hubers T. (Yellow Cards) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Lemperle T. (Muscle Injury) Uth M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Seguin P. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Köln: Cuber Potocnik J. (Illness) Pauli J. (Concussion)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Köln won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 34:20 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:12 (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German DFB Pokal
05.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:2 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Köln	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Köln - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.25	Köln - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.25	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	2:5 ✺
25.01.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.25	Schalke 04 - Aarau	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.24	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.09.24	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:3
German Bundesliga
29.01.23	Schalke 04 - Köln	0:0
07.08.22	Köln - Schalke 04	3:1
Club Friendly
27.01.22	Köln - Schalke 04	2:2
German Bundesliga
22.05.21	Köln - Schalke 04	1:0
20.01.21	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:2
29.02.20	Köln - Schalke 04	3:0

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