Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)


	KV Mechelen		Lierse

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	8	Watch
	1.4	4.35	8.5	Watch
	1.42	4.13	8.27	Watch
	1.37	4.63	8.23	Watch
	1.23	6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	4.72 ↓ (5.3)	8.6 ↓ (8.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
69.3%

Draw
19.8%

Lierse
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

17.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

16.6%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KV Mechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KV Mechelen - Lierse Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lierse (2.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lierse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 38. Antonio B. 2. Halhal R. 6. Hammar F. 8. Konate M. 7. Koudou T. 3. Marsa J. 14. Raman B. 28. Salifou D. 17. Servais M. 9. van Brederode M.	61. Vroman K. (G) 9. Adinany B. 36. Asare D. 8. Daguin V. 14. De Buyser W. 21. De Kerf B. 94. Lenaerts M. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 66. Mertens J. 2. Perdichizzi P. 4. Vanderhallen S.
Substitutes
11. Bafdili B. 39. Decoene M. 4. Diouf G. 22. Golic L. 20. Lauberbach L. 33. St. Jago T. 18. Struyf I. . van der Velde X. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G)	17. Demuynck D. 1. De Smet J. (G) 58. De Vos V. 11. El Touile S. 48. Gboua Y. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 77. Masaki H. 6. Matuta E. 29. Sy M. 26. Van Elsuwege T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Lenaerts M. ⚽,
35', De Buyser W. 🟨,
45+1', Halhal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Konate M. ↓, Struyf I. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Lauberbach L. ⚽, Raman B. (A),
52', Mertens J. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
60', Daguin V. ↓, Matuta E. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, van Brederode M. ⚽,
86', Raman B. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 3.

In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lierse is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mechelen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mechelen is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.10.25	KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Dender EH - KV Mechelen	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLWT
- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.10.25	Seraing - Lierse	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lierse - RFC Liège	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lierse	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Gent U23 - Lierse	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.04.17	Lierse - KV Mechelen	0:0
09.04.17	KV Mechelen - Lierse	1:0
22.02.15	KV Mechelen - Lierse	2:1
24.10.14	Lierse - KV Mechelen	0:1
26.12.13	Lierse - KV Mechelen	3:0
31.08.13	KV Mechelen - Lierse	0:0
16.02.13	Lierse - KV Mechelen	0:2

Upcoming Matches