Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kawasaki Frontale		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.1	Watch
	2.88	3.55	2.2	Watch
	3.09	3.72	2.29
	2.86	3.68	2.32	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	3.04	3.79	2.18	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.01)	3.64 ↑ (3.58)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
31.4%

Draw
25.8%

Kashiwa Reysol
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kawasaki Frontale have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Kawasaki (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 2. Matsunagane Y. 3. Taniguchi H. 13. Miura S. 19. Kawahara S. 6. Yamamoto Y. 18. Konno K. 14. Wakizaka Y. 17. Ito T. 9. Erison	25. Kojima R. (G) 88. Baba S. 4. Koga T. 2. Mitsumaru H. 24. Kubo T. 21. Konishi Y. 39. Nakagawa N. 15. Komi Y. 8. Koizumi Y. 20. Segawa Y. 9. Hosoya M.
Substitutes
32. Hayashi S. 41. Ienaga A. 23. Marcinho 24. Miyagi T. 30. Noda H. 16. Ozeki Y. 91. Romanic L. 8. Tachibanada K. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G)	42. Harada W. 13. Inukai T. 29. Nagai K. (G) 22. Noda H. 14. Okubo T. 26. Sugioka D. 28. Toshima S. 32. Yamanouchi Y. 87. Yamauchi H.
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Erison (Penalty Awarded),
11', 2 - 0, Erison ⚽, Ito T. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Erison ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
35', Baba S. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
38', 3 - 1, Hosoya M. ⚽, Harada W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', Ito T. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
60', 3 - 2, Segawa Y. ⚽, Konishi Y. (A),
68', 4 - 2, Matsunagane Y. ⚽,
69', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
69', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
74', Komi Y. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
74', Segawa Y. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
74', Miura S. ↓, Noda H. ↑,
74', Konno K. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
81', 4 - 3, Yamauchi H. ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 3, Wakizaka Y. ⚽, Tachibanada K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2.

Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G. (Knee Injury) Maruyama Y. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Muscle Injury) Tachibanada K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury) Yamada Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 1.9:0.8).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashiwa Reysol: 11.22% Kawasaki Frontale: 6.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10:4	6	12
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	4:0 ✺
30.11.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLW
- Kashiwa Reysol
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Kashiwa Reysol - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
01.11.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
12.10.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	4:1
08.10.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol	3:1
Japan J1 League
28.09.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol	4:4
22.02.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1
20.07.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	2:3
25.05.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
09.12.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0 penalties

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