The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kataller Toyama 44.5%
Draw 26.8%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
25.4%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
25.9%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Kataller Toyama - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hirao T. (G) 4. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 23. Nishiya S. 33. Takahashi Y. 34. Takenaka G. 14. Tanimoto S. 28. Fuseya S. 9. Yoshihira T. (C) 55. Kunitake Y. 39. Furukawa M.
1. Mogi S. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 45. Tanaka S. 28. Manabe H. 26. Miyawaki S. 14. Iesaka Y. 8. Yamauchi R. 7. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. (C) 99. Murakoshi K. 9. Hashimoto K.
Substitutes
99. Harada G. (G) 27. Kang Min-Woo 11. Kim T. 8. Matsuoka D. 32. Mizoguchi S. 30. Nakashima Y. 13. Ogawa K. 6. Sera S. 15. Tsuboi K.
15. Abe T. 10. Inoue R. 31. Kimura R. (G) 42. Matsumoto K. 6. Okuma K. 18. Sato R. 29. Tanaka Y. 13. Tsutsumi S. 5. Watanabe E.
Coaches
Adachi R.
Okuma Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Yoshihira T. ⚽, Takahashi Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Manabe H. ↓, Abe T. ↑,
55', Nishiya S. ↓, Kang Min-Woo ↑,
55', Kunitake Y. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
58', Ano M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Okumura K. ⚽,
64', Ano M. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
64', Iesaka Y. ↓, Watanabe E. ↑,
66', Furukawa M. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
77', Takenaka G. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
77', Takahashi Y. ↓, Nakashima Y. ↑,
83', Murakoshi K. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
84', Okumura K. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: ) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 3.
Kataller Toyama has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kataller Toyama could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Kataller Toyama is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Kataller Toyama has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 19:7 (averaging 1.9:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kataller Toyama against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).