Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Kawasaki Frontale		Gwangju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	4.1	4.4
	1.7	4	4.33
	1.68	4.18	4.48
	1.69	4.19	4.29	Watch
	1.57	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4.43	Watch
	1.7	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.8)	4.12 ↑ (4)	4.39 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
56%

Draw
22.7%

Gwangju
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

23.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Kawasaki Frontale - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 31. Wermeskerken S. V. 44. Haydar C. 2. Takai K. 13. Miura S. 77. Yamamoto Y. 8. Tachibanada K. 41. Ienaga A. 17. Tono D. 30. Segawa Y. 11. Kobayashi Y. (C)	1. Kim Kyung-Min (G) 27. Kim Jin-Ho 15. Byeon Jun-Soo 23. Kim Kyeong-Jae 3. Lee Min-Ki (C) 7. Asani J. 55. Park Tae-Jun 14. Jeong Ho-Yeon 40. Shin Chang-Moo 11. Gabriel Tigrao 18. Heo Yool
Substitutes
9. Erison 22. Hayasaka Y. (G) 19. Kawahara S. 34. Kota Y. 23. Marcinho 35. Maruyama Y. 5. Sasaki A. 15. Tanabe S. 14. Wakizaka Y. 20. Yamada S. 98. Yamaguchi L. (G) 26. Yamauchi H.	6. Ahn Young-Kyu 30. Choi Kyoung-Rok 2. Cho Sung-Gwon 17. Jeong Ji-Yong 47. Kim Han-Gil 8. Lee Eu-Ddeum 20. Lee G. 10. Lee Heui-Kyun 24. Lee K. 22. Lee Sang-Gi 77. Oh Hoo-Sung 31. Roh Hee-Dong (G)
Coaches
Oniki T.	Lee Jung-Hyo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Haydar C. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Asani J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Lee Heui-Kyun ↑,
46', Haydar C. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
68', Wermeskerken S. V. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
68', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
74', Heo Yool ↓, Lee G. ↑,
74', Gabriel Tigrao ↓, Choi Kyoung-Rok ↑,
74', Segawa Y. ↓, Erison ↑,
74', Tono D. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
84', Asani J. ↓, Kim Han-Gil ↑,
86', Park Tae-Jun ↓, Lee K. ↑,
90+4', Lee K. 🟨,
90+4', Erison 🟨,

Preview

Kawasaki is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gwangju is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kawasaki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kawasaki is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
27.09.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata	5:1 ✺
22.09.24	Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.09.24	Ulsan HD - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.09.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu	3:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Ventforet Kofu - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWT
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
28.09.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Gwangju - Jeju	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.24	Gwangju - Yokohama F. Marinos	7:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.24	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL

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