Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 26

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	OneFootball TV


	KuPS Kuopio		Oulu

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.58	3.90	5.50
	1.6	3.6	5.4	Watch
	1.63	4.07	5.72
	1.6	3.99	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.95	5.6
	1.59	3.95	5.32	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)	3.87 ↑ (3.86)	5.38 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
58.6%

Draw
24.1%

Oulu
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.3%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KuPS Kuopio - Oulu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - KuPS Kuopio (1.55) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 2.

KuPS has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Oulu is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, KuPS is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for KuPS: Armah B. (Inactive) Heiskanen S. (Inactive) Voutilainen J. (Surgery).

Confirmed absences for Oulu: Ghezali L. (Inactive) Tiihonen O. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KuPS has recorded 15 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:19 (averaging 2.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KuPS against this opponent, the record stands at 11 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 26:7 goals (averaging 2.2:0.6 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41:24	17	48
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26:29	-3	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.09.26	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLW
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Oulu - SJK	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:0
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
28.02.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	5:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.07.25	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:2
12.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	1:0
Club Friendly
25.03.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	2:1

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