Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	LDU Quito		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	8	Watch
	1.38	4.2	7
	1.39	4.35	6.5
	1.35	4.5	7.4
	1.39	5.01	7.48
	1.38	4.2	7.5
	1.39	4.75	7.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.73)	4.54 ↑ (3.45)	7.38 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
67%

Draw
20.4%

9 de Octubre
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LDU Quito's performance.

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Octubre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Quito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Octubre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	2.8%	5.6%

LDU Quito - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (33 of 36 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.64% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 16).

Recent matches LDU Quito is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

9 de Octubre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

LDU Quito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently LDU Quito have a series of guest games.

In this match LDU Quito is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams LDU Quito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.22	Deportes Antofagasta - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.05.22	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Defensa y Justicia - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.04.22	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
20.04.22	Orense - LDU Quito	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWL
- 9 de Octubre FC
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.22	9 de Octubre - Independiente Medellín	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.04.22	9 de Octubre - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	Guaireña - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.04.22	Deportivo Cuenca - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Emelec - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.07.21	9 de Octubre - LDU Quito	4:1
19.02.21	LDU Quito - 9 de Octubre	4:2

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