Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: RECOPA SUDAMERICANA - FINAL

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Netherlands	ESPN


	LDU Quito		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.2	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.35	3.4
	2.29	3.31	3.47
				Watch
	2.23	3.32	3.31	Watch
	2.23	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.06)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
42.4%

Draw
29%

Fluminense
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

LDU Quito - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fluminense will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dominguez A. (G) 14. Quinteros J. 4. Ade R. 3. Mina R. 33. Quinonez L. 18. Piovi L. 5. Zambrano O. 8. Estupinan L. 21. Gonzalez Baquero S. 26. Jhojan Julio 7. Jan Hurtado	1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 29. Thiago Santos 30. Felipe Melo (C) 12. Marcelo 7. Andre 8. Martinelli 10. PH Ganso 11. Keno 14. Cano G. 21. Arias J.
Substitutes
10. Alvarado A. 9. Alzugaray L. 19. Arce A. 35. Charcopa J. 11. Estrada M. 16. Parrales M. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 1. Valle G. (G) 25. Valverde J. 15. Villamil G. 24. Zanini A.	5. Alexsander 25. Antonio Carlos 90. Costa D. 80. David Terans 6. Diogo Barbosa 27. Felipe Alves (G) 22. Gabriel Pires 18. Lele 45. Lima 4. Marlon Santos 77. Marquinhos 20. Renato Augusto
Coaches
Alcacer J.	Fernando Diniz

Preview

1st leg.

Fluminense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

LDU Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

LDU Quito will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams LDU Quito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Club Friendly
17.02.24	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.12.23	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	2:1 penalties ✺
10.12.23	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Cumbayá - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTWW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
17.02.24	Madureira - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
14.02.24	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
08.02.24	Fluminense - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Boavista - Fluminense	2:2 ✺
01.02.24	Fluminense - Bangu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
21.09.17	LDU Quito - Fluminense	2:1
14.09.17	Fluminense - LDU Quito	1:0

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