Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - APERTURA - ROUND 10

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal Parque Liebig's (Fray Bentos)

Referee: Ferreyra C. (Uru)


	La Luz		Boston River

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.87	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3	3.3	2.2
	3.12	3.46	2.36
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	2.99	3.32	2.28	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)	2.29 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
31.3%

Draw
28.4%

Boston River
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

26.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

La Luz - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. La Luz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 14).

Recent matches La Luz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boston River is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.23	Cerro - La Luz	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	La Luz - Racing Montevideo	1:3 ✺
17.03.23	Plaza Colonia - La Luz	1:1 ✺
10.03.23	La Luz - Cerro Largo	0:3 ✺
05.03.23	Liverpool Montevideo - La Luz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TLTLW
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.23	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Boston River - Danubio	3:3 ✺
11.03.23	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLT

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