Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - APERTURA - ROUND 8

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)


	La Luz		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.75
	2.74	3.19	2.82
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.55	3.14	2.74	Watch
	2.5	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.53)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)	2.7 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
36.2%

Draw
29.6%

Racing Montevideo
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

La Luz - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. La Luz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

La Luz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches La Luz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams La Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.03.23	Plaza Colonia - La Luz	1:1 ✺
10.03.23	La Luz - Cerro Largo	0:3 ✺
05.03.23	Liverpool Montevideo - La Luz	2:3 ✺
27.02.23	La Luz - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Defensor Sporting - La Luz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TLWTL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.03.23	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.03.23	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	Racing Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.08.22	La Luz - Racing Montevideo	0:0
25.05.22	Racing Montevideo - La Luz	0:1
24.04.22	La Luz - Racing Montevideo	0:2

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