Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Delfino G. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TV Publica


	Lanús		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	7	Watch
	1.55	3.75	6.25
	1.6	3.8	6.2
	1.55	3.83	7.51
	1.56	3.84	6.4	Watch
	1.55	3.85	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.82)	3.8 ↑ (3.24)	6.63 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
60.8%

Draw
24.9%

Arsenal Sarandí
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

29.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

29.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 24).

Lanús has the most likely position - 5 (6.24%), project points - 40, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (2%).

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (12.94%), project points - 28, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1.

Lanús is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lanús is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Lanús: Careaga S. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lanús won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Tigre - Lanús	2:1 ✺
20.03.23	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Belgrano - Lanús	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Lanús - River Plate	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Racing - Lanús	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.23	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	River Plate - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.08.22	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.03.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Lanús	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.09.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Lanús	1:0
02.12.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Lanús	1:1
02.03.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Lanús	2:1
28.05.17	Arsenal Sarandí - Lanús	0:2
08.03.15	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0

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