Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Tuiliere (Lausanne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Belgium	21:00	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 2
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	VIX App


	Lausanne-Sport		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.9
	3.55	3.7	1.92
	3.69	3.81	1.98
	3.76	3.9	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.95
	3.87	3.79	1.97
	3.66	3.8	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (6.03)	3.73 ↓ (4.93)	1.93 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne-Sport
25.9%

Draw
25.3%

Fiorentina
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.1%

19.7%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

19%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lausanne-Sport's performance.

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorentina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lausanne-Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
49.1%	13.2%	37.7%

Lausanne Sport - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 26 - 51%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 19 - 37.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 37.3% – 64.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Fiorentina (votes: 12 - 46.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lausanne-Sport (1.68) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Lausanne-Sport (3.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 18 - 60%). Fiorentina (votes: 12 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Letica K. (G) 2. Soppy B. 14. Mouanga K. (C) 71. Sow K. 93. Fofana S. 38. Sigua G. 8. Roche J. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 27. Lekoueiry B. 9. Bair T. 22. Kana-Biyik E.	30. Martinelli T. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 18. Mari P. 26. Viti M. 60. Kouadio E. 24. Richardson A. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 7. Sohm S. 99. Kouame C. 9. Dzeko E. (C) 91. Piccoli R.
Substitutes
20. Abdallah H. 7. Ajdini A. 50. Bittarelli L. 1. Castella T. (G) 10. Custodio O. 57. Franchi E. 56. Lachhab A. 54. Lippo R. 47. N'Diaye S. 5. Okoh B. 18. Poaty M. 17. Traore S.	15. Comuzzo P. 43. de Gea D. (G) 2. Dodo 44. Fagioli N. 29. Fortini N. 10. Gudmundsson A. 20. Kean M. 23. Kospo E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 8. Mandragora R. 65. Parisi F. 6. Ranieri L.
Coaches
Zeidler P.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Kouame C. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Sigua G. ⚽, Kana-Biyik E. (A),
70', Richardson A. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
70', Piccoli R. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
70', Dzeko E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
70', Kana-Biyik E. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
70', Sigua G. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
73', Kean M. 🟨,
79', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Poaty M. ↑,
83', Kouadio E. ↓, Dodo ↑,
85', Fortini N. 🟨,
86', Fofana S. ↓, Abdallah H. ↑,
90', Lekoueiry B. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Lausanne-Sport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fiorentina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Al Saad M. (Foot Injury) Beloko N. (Muscle Injury) Bruchez E. (Injury) Diakite G. (International duty)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Ndour C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Custodio O. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
14.12.25	Basel - Lausanne-Sport	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	KuPS Kuopio - Lausanne-Sport	0:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
07.12.25	Lausanne-Sport - Lugano	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
03.12.25	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
30.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTTLW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Fiorentina - Verona	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Fiorentina - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

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