Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2, TVM Sport+
Mexico	ESPN 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV5, Sport TV+
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, Univision
International	Disney+


	Lazio		Porto

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3
	2.4	3.25	2.95
	2.55	3.25	2.95
	2.54	3.31	2.99
	2.47	3.28	2.94	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3
	2.57	3.4	3.02
	2.55	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.15)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	2.98 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lazio
38.5%

Draw
29.3%

Porto
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	23.3%	13.3%

Lazio - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Porto will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Mandas C. (G) 77. Marusic A. 2. Gigot S. 13. Romagnoli A. 30. Tavares N. 8. Guendouzi M. 5. Vecino M. 20. Tchaouna L. 9. Pedro 10. Zaccagni M. (C) 11. Castellanos T.	99. Costa D. (C) 52. Fernandes M. 24. Perez N. 3. Djalo T. 74. Moura F. 22. Varela A. 6. Eustaquio S. 10. Vieira F. 19. Danny Namaso 13. Galeno 9. Samu
Substitutes
7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 34. Gila M. 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 94. Provedel I. (G) 6. Rovella N.	70. Borges G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 20. Franco A. 27. Gul D. 23. Joao Mario 86. Mora R. 21. Navarro F. 16. Nico 4. Otavio 97. Pedro J. 11. Pepê 15. Sousa V.
Coaches
Baroni M.	Bruno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Gigot S. 🟨,
15', Danny Namaso 🟨,
28', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
30', Samu 🟨,
39', Perez N. 🟨,
45+1', Djalo T. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Romagnoli A. ⚽, Castellanos T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Fernandes M. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
61', Danny Namaso ↓, Pepê ↑,
61', Varela A. ↓, Nico ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Eustaquio S. ⚽, Galeno (A),
67', Castellanos T. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
67', Gigot S. ↓, Gila M. ↑,
67', Tchaouna L. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
71', Zaccagni M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
76', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
81', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
84', Vieira F. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
89', Tavares N. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Isaksen G. (A),
90+4', Pepê 🟨,

Preview

Lazio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lazio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Lazio: Noslin T. (Red Card)

There will not play in Porto: Marcano I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Patric (Knock) Zaccagni M. (Illness)

There are questionable in Porto: Wendell (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lazio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
04.11.24	Lazio - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Como - Lazio	1:5 ✺
27.10.24	Lazio - Genoa	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Twente - Lazio	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.24	Juventus - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
03.11.24	Porto - Estoril Praia	4:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
31.10.24	Porto - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.10.24	AVS - Porto	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Porto - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Sintrense - Porto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.02.22	Lazio - Porto	2:2
17.02.22	Porto - Lazio	2:1

Upcoming Matches