Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport Variety 2
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Flow Eventos
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	ESPN 4
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	SportsMax Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 21, Blue Sport 21
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
International	Disney+, SportsMax App


	Twente		Lazio

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.88
	2.45	3.3	2.87
	2.45	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.5	3.37	2.96
	2.47	3.36	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3.2	3
	2.59	3.44	2.96
	2.45	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.15)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.93 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
38.6%

Draw
28.7%

Lazio
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

27%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lazio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lazio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	22.2%	63%

Twente - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Lazio will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 2. Hilgers M. 38. Bruns M. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 8. Regeer Y. 18. Vlap M. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C) 14. Steijn S. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Lammers S.	35. Mandas C. (G) 77. Marusic A. 2. Gigot S. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 5. Vecino M. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 20. Tchaouna L. 9. Pedro 10. Zaccagni M. (C) 19. Dia B.
Substitutes
41. Besselink G. 6. Eiting C. 16. El Maach I. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 5. Kuipers B. 29. Kuster H. 3. Lagerbielke G. 30. Ltaief S. 37. Panneflek O. 39. Rots M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A.	11. Castellanos T. 53. Di Tommaso L. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 34. Gila M. 18. Isaksen G. 4. Patric 94. Provedel I. (G) 6. Rovella N. 30. Tavares N.
Coaches
Oosting J.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Unnerstall L. 🟥,
13', van Bergen M. ↓, Tyton P. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Vecino M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lammers S. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
61', Steijn S. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
61', Vlap M. ↓, Eiting C. ↑,
63', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
65', Vecino M. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
65', Zaccagni M. ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
68', van Rooij B. 🟨,
69', Bruns M. 🟨,
72', Vlap M. 🟨,
77', Gigot S. ↓, Patric ↑,
77', Dia B. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
80', Salah-Eddine A. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Isaksen G. ⚽, Dele-Bashiru F. (A),
89', Tchaouna L. ↓, Gila M. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Twente is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lazio is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Twente: Rots D. (Injury) Taha Y. (Shin Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Lazzari M. (Injury) Noslin T. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Lazio: Gigot S. (Shoulder Injury) Patric (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Twente won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Including matches at home between the teams Twente won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.24	Waalwijk - Twente	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Feyenoord - Twente	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Twente - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
29.09.24	Twente - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Manchester United - Twente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLTWT
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
19.10.24	Juventus - Lazio	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Lazio - Nice	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Torino - Lazio	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.08.21	Twente - Lazio	0:1

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