Match Info

Serie A - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	12:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	07:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	14:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Austria	12:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	12:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	07:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	13:30	Max Sport 3
Chile	06:30	Disney+
China	18:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	05:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	12:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	13:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	12:30	Sport 2
Denmark	12:30	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	13:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	14:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	12:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	13:30	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	18:30	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	12:30	Match 4, Net4+
India	16:00	GXR World
Indonesia	17:30	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	13:30	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	12:30	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	19:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	12:30	ART Sport 1
Macao	18:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	12:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	04:30	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	22:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	12:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	12:30	VG+
Peru	05:30	Disney+
Poland	12:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	11:30	Sport TV3
Romania	13:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	13:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	13:30	STC TV
Serbia	12:30	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	12:30	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	12:30	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	19:30	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	12:30	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	13:30	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	13:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Arab Emirates	14:30	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	07:30	Disney+
Usa	06:30	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	06:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	17:30	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	10:30	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Lecce		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.4	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.46	3.02	3.37	Watch
	2.3	3	3.3
	2.37	2.98	3.67	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
40.1%

Draw
31.6%

Venezia
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.6%	34.4%	25%

Lecce - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Venezia will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 22.5% – 57.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Venezia (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Venezia (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lecce (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Venezia (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Venezia (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Venezia (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Venezia (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (G) 12. Guilbert F. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 4. Gaspar K. 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 20. Ramadani Y. 14. Helgason T. J. 50. Pierotti S. 9. Krstovic N. 7. Tete Morente	28. Radu I. (G) 16. Marcandalli A. 4. Idzes J. (C) 2. Cande F. 24. Zerbin A. 6. Busio G. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 71. Perez K. 79. Carboni F. 10. Yeboah J. 9. Gytkjaer C.
Substitutes
22. Banda L. 5. Berisha M. 23. Burnete R. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 19. Jean G. 77. Kaba M. 37. Karlsson J. 10. Ndri K. 75. Pierret B. 8. Rafia H. 3. Rebic A. 99. Sala M. 32. Samooja J. (G) 44. Tiago Gabriel 17. Veiga D.	19. Bjarkason B. 17. Conde C. 97. Doumbia I. 80. El Haddad S. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 18. Fila D. 23. Grandi M. (G) 5. Haps R. 1. Joronen J. (G) 11. Oristanio G. 21. Sagrado R. 33. Sverko M. 7. Zampano F.
Coaches
Giampaolo M.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Carboni F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carboni F. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
46', Baschirotto F. 🟨,
50', 0 - 1, Gallo A. (Own goal),
54', Ramadani Y. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
54', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
54', Coulibaly L. ↓, Pierret B. ↑,
56', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
61', Guilbert F. 🟨,
64', Perez K. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Baschirotto F. ⚽, Helgason T. J. (A),
68', Yeboah J. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
68', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
68', Guilbert F. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
73', Marcandalli A. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
81', Perez K. ↓, Doumbia I. ↑,
83', Cande F. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 2.

Lecce has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Venezia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lecce will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Heart Problems) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Venezia: Crnigoj D. (Inactive) Maric M. (Leg Injury) Stankovic F. (Knee Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Duncan A. (Health problems) Schingtienne J. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lecce won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
29.03.25	Lecce - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Genoa - Lecce	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Lecce - Milan	2:3 ✺
28.02.25	Fiorentina - Lecce	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Lecce - Udinese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
29.03.25	Venezia - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Koper - Venezia	7:3 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Venezia - Napoli	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Como - Venezia	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Atalanta - Venezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.11.24	Venezia - Lecce	0:1
Italian Serie B
20.05.21	Lecce - Venezia	1:1
17.05.21	Venezia - Lecce	1:0
16.03.21	Venezia - Lecce	2:3
05.12.20	Lecce - Venezia	2:2
11.02.19	Venezia - Lecce	1:1
22.09.18	Lecce - Venezia	2:1

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