Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Silvestri A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Lecco		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.20	4.00
	1.78	3.3	4.3	Watch
	1.82	3.43	4.57
	1.78	3.39	4.32	Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.45
	1.84	3.36	4.41	Watch
	1.75	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	4.29 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
51.2%

Draw
27.5%

Folgore Caratese
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lecco - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Folgore Caratese will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 45. Rizzo M. 5. Arena M. 24. Sidler S. 11. Urso O. 21. Metlika A. (C) 6. Mallamo A. 99. Manetti G. 17. Pellegrino G. 10. Capello A. 9. Casarotto M.	63. Sarr M. (G) 4. Samotti N. 21. Gega E. 19. Duca T. 29. Minerva F. 6. Ndoj E. 8. Castellano F. (C) 11. Balzano M. 23. Cassata F. 99. D'Amico F. 77. Mezsargs K.
Substitutes
78. Anastasini J. 8. Bonaiti S. 13. Bordoni T. 4. Comi P. 1. Dalmasso J. (G) 83. Fama S. 30. Fasan N. 20. Mihali L. 15. Murillo A. 75. Nova E. 72. Polonioli M. 27. Triacca D.	18. Ambrosini M. 43. Bassino A. 24. Bellia E. 7. Cester S. 80. Di Dio F. 22. Facchini T. (G) 28. Pedicillo L. 1. Salvalaggio D. (G) 61. Santarcangelo A. 9. Spalluto S. 10. Vacca A. 72. Vignoli M.
Coaches
Valente F.	Guidi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Capello A. ⚽, Casarotto M. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Cassata F. ⚽,
45+3', Samotti N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Mezsargs K. ⚽, Duca T. (A),
71', Cassata F. ↓, Cester S. ↑,
73', Capello A. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,
73', Pellegrino G. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
73', Manetti G. ↓, Bordoni T. ↑,
75', Sarr M. ↓, Salvalaggio D. ↑,
77', Urso O. ↓, Triacca D. ↑,
79', Ndoj E. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Rizzo M. ⚽, Bordoni T. (A),
87', Rizzo M. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
90', Mezsargs K. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
90', Duca T. ↓, Bellia E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 19th in the Serie C - Play Out).

In recent outings, Lecco has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Folgore Caratese has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lecco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Lecco has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lecco against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lecco	11	3	5	3	14:11	3	14
19	Folgore Caratese	11	1	4	6	11:17	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
16.10.26	Pro Vercelli - Lecco	0:5 ✺
11.10.26	Lecco - Alcione	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Lecco - Brescia	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Cittadella - Lecco	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lecco - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTLT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.26	Folgore Caratese - Treviso	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Trento - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Lumezzane - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
10.02.19	Folgore Caratese - Lecco	1:2
21.10.18	Lecco - Folgore Caratese	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.04.16	Folgore Caratese - Lecco	0:0

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